Current ensemble forecasts from major models indicate a minimum temperature near 18°C for Paris on August 26, with the market distribution centered on 17–19°C reflecting genuine uncertainty in overnight radiative cooling. Key variables include evolving cloud cover and light precipitation that could limit temperature drops, southerly flow maintaining mild conditions, and potential shifts in model guidance on boundary-layer moisture. Recent observations show above-average warmth persisting into late August, though historical climatology places typical lows closer to 14°C. Traders are weighting the latest high-resolution runs and timing of any frontal passage ahead of the short resolution window.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en París el 26 de agosto?
¿Temperatura más baja en París el 26 de agosto?
18°C 33%
19°C 23%
17°C 22%
20°C 13%
NUEVO
NUEVO
26 ago 2026
14°C o menos
4%
15°C
8%
16°C
12%
17°C
22%
18°C
33%
19°C
23%
20°C
13%
21°C
5%
22°C
5%
23°C
7%
24°C o más
2%
18°C 33%
19°C 23%
17°C 22%
20°C 13%
NUEVO
NUEVO
26 ago 2026
14°C o menos
$165 Vol.
4%
15°C
$143 Vol.
8%
16°C
$0 Vol.
12%
17°C
$0 Vol.
22%
18°C
$686 Vol.
33%
19°C
$0 Vol.
23%
20°C
$0 Vol.
13%
21°C
$0 Vol.
5%
22°C
$81 Vol.
5%
23°C
$5 Vol.
7%
24°C o más
$45 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from major models indicate a minimum temperature near 18°C for Paris on August 26, with the market distribution centered on 17–19°C reflecting genuine uncertainty in overnight radiative cooling. Key variables include evolving cloud cover and light precipitation that could limit temperature drops, southerly flow maintaining mild conditions, and potential shifts in model guidance on boundary-layer moisture. Recent observations show above-average warmth persisting into late August, though historical climatology places typical lows closer to 14°C. Traders are weighting the latest high-resolution runs and timing of any frontal passage ahead of the short resolution window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 24, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volumen
$1,125Fecha de finalización
26 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 24, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from major models indicate a minimum temperature near 18°C for Paris on August 26, with the market distribution centered on 17–19°C reflecting genuine uncertainty in overnight radiative cooling. Key variables include evolving cloud cover and light precipitation that could limit temperature drops, southerly flow maintaining mild conditions, and potential shifts in model guidance on boundary-layer moisture. Recent observations show above-average warmth persisting into late August, though historical climatology places typical lows closer to 14°C. Traders are weighting the latest high-resolution runs and timing of any frontal passage ahead of the short resolution window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$1,125Fecha de finalización
26 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 24, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current ensemble forecasts from major models indicate a minimum temperature near 18°C for Paris on August 26, with the market distribution centered on 17–19°C reflecting genuine uncertainty in overnight radiative cooling. Key variables include evolving cloud cover and light precipitation that could limit temperature drops, southerly flow maintaining mild conditions, and potential shifts in model guidance on boundary-layer moisture. Recent observations show above-average warmth persisting into late August, though historical climatology places typical lows closer to 14°C. Traders are weighting the latest high-resolution runs and timing of any frontal passage ahead of the short resolution window.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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