Recent official forecasts from multiple models, including GFS data, indicate a high near 24°C for Paris on August 30 under persistent thick cloud cover and moderate southwesterly winds around 15-20 km/h. This setup suppresses daytime heating, aligning closely with the long-term August average high of 24.0°C while limiting upward spikes. Trader positioning at 50.5% for 24°C and 31.5% for 23°C reflects this consensus, with lower probabilities for 25°C or above tied to the absence of clearing skies or warmer advection. Stable atmospheric pressure near 1010 hPa and low precipitation chances further support modest temperatures without notable model divergence.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en París el 30 de agosto?
24°C 54%
23°C 25%
25°C 20%
22°C 3%
$23,396 Vol.
$23,396 Vol.
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
3%
23°C
25%
24°C
54%
25°C
20%
26°C
3%
27°C or higher
1%
24°C 54%
23°C 25%
25°C 20%
22°C 3%
$23,396 Vol.
$23,396 Vol.
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
3%
23°C
25%
24°C
54%
25°C
20%
26°C
3%
27°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 28, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from multiple models, including GFS data, indicate a high near 24°C for Paris on August 30 under persistent thick cloud cover and moderate southwesterly winds around 15-20 km/h. This setup suppresses daytime heating, aligning closely with the long-term August average high of 24.0°C while limiting upward spikes. Trader positioning at 50.5% for 24°C and 31.5% for 23°C reflects this consensus, with lower probabilities for 25°C or above tied to the absence of clearing skies or warmer advection. Stable atmospheric pressure near 1010 hPa and low precipitation chances further support modest temperatures without notable model divergence.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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