Trader consensus on the "Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on August 31" market, with 29°C or below leading at 39% implied probability, centers on the moderating influence of a strengthening cold front and drier, more stable atmospheric conditions typical of late Southern Hemisphere winter. Recent model runs indicate a shift from transient warm, dry air masses that produced recent highs above 30°C toward cooler advection, aligning with August climatology where mean daily maxima hover near 24–25°C at stations like Mirante de Santana. Key variables include wind patterns from the southeast, reduced insolation under increased cloud cover, and the timing of frontal passage before resolution. Updated INMET and global ensemble guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine maximum temperature thresholds and any localized urban heat effects.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Sao Paulo el 31 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Sao Paulo el 31 de agosto?
29°C o menos 40%
30°C 17%
31°C 13%
32°C 11%
NUEVO
NUEVO
31 ago 2026
29°C o menos
46%
30°C
17%
31°C
13%
32°C
11%
33°C
6%
34°C
3%
35°C
3%
36°C
<1%
37°C
1%
38°C
<1%
39°C o más
<1%
29°C o menos 40%
30°C 17%
31°C 13%
32°C 11%
NUEVO
NUEVO
31 ago 2026
29°C o menos
$1,193 Vol.
46%
30°C
$202 Vol.
17%
31°C
$137 Vol.
13%
32°C
$90 Vol.
11%
33°C
$381 Vol.
6%
34°C
$119 Vol.
3%
35°C
$45 Vol.
3%
36°C
$20 Vol.
<1%
37°C
$10 Vol.
1%
38°C
$10 Vol.
<1%
39°C o más
$10 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on the "Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on August 31" market, with 29°C or below leading at 39% implied probability, centers on the moderating influence of a strengthening cold front and drier, more stable atmospheric conditions typical of late Southern Hemisphere winter. Recent model runs indicate a shift from transient warm, dry air masses that produced recent highs above 30°C toward cooler advection, aligning with August climatology where mean daily maxima hover near 24–25°C at stations like Mirante de Santana. Key variables include wind patterns from the southeast, reduced insolation under increased cloud cover, and the timing of frontal passage before resolution. Updated INMET and global ensemble guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine maximum temperature thresholds and any localized urban heat effects.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 29, 2026, 8:55 AM ET
Volumen
$2,217Fecha de finalización
31 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 29, 2026, 8:55 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on the "Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on August 31" market, with 29°C or below leading at 39% implied probability, centers on the moderating influence of a strengthening cold front and drier, more stable atmospheric conditions typical of late Southern Hemisphere winter. Recent model runs indicate a shift from transient warm, dry air masses that produced recent highs above 30°C toward cooler advection, aligning with August climatology where mean daily maxima hover near 24–25°C at stations like Mirante de Santana. Key variables include wind patterns from the southeast, reduced insolation under increased cloud cover, and the timing of frontal passage before resolution. Updated INMET and global ensemble guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine maximum temperature thresholds and any localized urban heat effects.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$2,217Fecha de finalización
31 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 29, 2026, 8:55 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on the "Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on August 31" market, with 29°C or below leading at 39% implied probability, centers on the moderating influence of a strengthening cold front and drier, more stable atmospheric conditions typical of late Southern Hemisphere winter. Recent model runs indicate a shift from transient warm, dry air masses that produced recent highs above 30°C toward cooler advection, aligning with August climatology where mean daily maxima hover near 24–25°C at stations like Mirante de Santana. Key variables include wind patterns from the southeast, reduced insolation under increased cloud cover, and the timing of frontal passage before resolution. Updated INMET and global ensemble guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine maximum temperature thresholds and any localized urban heat effects.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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