Recent forecasts from models including GFS and ECMWF indicate a highest temperature of 23–25°C for Mexico City on August 31, consistent with the market’s leading outcomes at 24°C (43.5%), 23°C (27.5%), and 25°C (16.5%). The city’s 2,240-meter elevation limits daytime heating, while the ongoing rainy season brings afternoon cloud cover, thunderstorms, and evaporative cooling that typically cap highs near the seasonal average of 24°C. Persistent rain and overcast conditions through late August have kept recent maxima at or below this level, with no heat-wave signals in current guidance. Updated model runs ahead of the date will refine precipitation timing and any brief clearing that could allow a 26°C spike or push the peak lower.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en la Ciudad de México el 31 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en la Ciudad de México el 31 de agosto?
24°C 44%
23°C 28%
26°C o más 18%
25°C 18%
NUEVO
NUEVO
31 ago 2026
16°C o menos
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
2%
19°C
9%
20°C
4%
21°C
11%
22°C
11%
23°C
28%
24°C
44%
25°C
18%
26°C o más
18%
24°C 44%
23°C 28%
26°C o más 18%
25°C 18%
NUEVO
NUEVO
31 ago 2026
16°C o menos
$0 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$0 Vol.
2%
19°C
$0 Vol.
9%
20°C
$0 Vol.
4%
21°C
$0 Vol.
11%
22°C
$3 Vol.
11%
23°C
$6 Vol.
28%
24°C
$23 Vol.
44%
25°C
$0 Vol.
18%
26°C o más
$0 Vol.
18%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models including GFS and ECMWF indicate a highest temperature of 23–25°C for Mexico City on August 31, consistent with the market’s leading outcomes at 24°C (43.5%), 23°C (27.5%), and 25°C (16.5%). The city’s 2,240-meter elevation limits daytime heating, while the ongoing rainy season brings afternoon cloud cover, thunderstorms, and evaporative cooling that typically cap highs near the seasonal average of 24°C. Persistent rain and overcast conditions through late August have kept recent maxima at or below this level, with no heat-wave signals in current guidance. Updated model runs ahead of the date will refine precipitation timing and any brief clearing that could allow a 26°C spike or push the peak lower.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 29, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
Volumen
$32Fecha de finalización
31 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 29, 2026, 8:56 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models including GFS and ECMWF indicate a highest temperature of 23–25°C for Mexico City on August 31, consistent with the market’s leading outcomes at 24°C (43.5%), 23°C (27.5%), and 25°C (16.5%). The city’s 2,240-meter elevation limits daytime heating, while the ongoing rainy season brings afternoon cloud cover, thunderstorms, and evaporative cooling that typically cap highs near the seasonal average of 24°C. Persistent rain and overcast conditions through late August have kept recent maxima at or below this level, with no heat-wave signals in current guidance. Updated model runs ahead of the date will refine precipitation timing and any brief clearing that could allow a 26°C spike or push the peak lower.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$32Fecha de finalización
31 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 29, 2026, 8:56 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from models including GFS and ECMWF indicate a highest temperature of 23–25°C for Mexico City on August 31, consistent with the market’s leading outcomes at 24°C (43.5%), 23°C (27.5%), and 25°C (16.5%). The city’s 2,240-meter elevation limits daytime heating, while the ongoing rainy season brings afternoon cloud cover, thunderstorms, and evaporative cooling that typically cap highs near the seasonal average of 24°C. Persistent rain and overcast conditions through late August have kept recent maxima at or below this level, with no heat-wave signals in current guidance. Updated model runs ahead of the date will refine precipitation timing and any brief clearing that could allow a 26°C spike or push the peak lower.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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