Recent official forecasts from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and international models indicate mild late-winter conditions in Buenos Aires, with partly cloudy skies allowing modest daytime radiative warming and light easterly flow limiting advection of cooler air. This setup supports an afternoon peak near 17–18 °C, close to the long-term August 29 climatological average of roughly 16 °C, though slight model disagreements on cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing create uncertainty between 19–21 °C. Trader consensus, reflected in the tight 20–21 °C lead, therefore prices in the possibility of localized urban heat or brief clear intervals pushing the official reading higher while still assigning meaningful probability to the lower end of the forecast envelope.