Recent National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model runs indicate a mostly cloudy Monday with southwest winds of 10-20 mph sustaining marine layer influence, supporting a high near 62°F for San Francisco on August 31. This cooler regime follows several warmer days earlier in late August and sits below the 1991-2020 average high of 69.6°F. Market-implied odds favoring 66-67°F reflect trader assessment of remaining uncertainty in cloud cover timing and any late-day clearing that could allow brief warming, while lower-probability bins above 70°F account for potential forecast shifts. Updated model guidance and official observations through the weekend will provide key resolution signals ahead of the date.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en San Francisco el 31 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en San Francisco el 31 de agosto?
66-67°F 37%
64-65°F 30%
68-69°F 16%
62-63°F 13%
NUEVO
NUEVO
31 ago 2026
57°F o menos
<1%
58-59°F
6%
60-61°F
9%
62-63°F
13%
64-65°F
30%
66-67°F
37%
68-69°F
16%
70-71°F
10%
72-73°F
2%
74-75°F
2%
76°F o más
<1%
66-67°F 37%
64-65°F 30%
68-69°F 16%
62-63°F 13%
NUEVO
NUEVO
31 ago 2026
57°F o menos
$0 Vol.
<1%
58-59°F
$0 Vol.
6%
60-61°F
$0 Vol.
9%
62-63°F
$405 Vol.
13%
64-65°F
$38 Vol.
30%
66-67°F
$126 Vol.
37%
68-69°F
$225 Vol.
16%
70-71°F
$0 Vol.
10%
72-73°F
$0 Vol.
2%
74-75°F
$0 Vol.
2%
76°F o más
$0 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model runs indicate a mostly cloudy Monday with southwest winds of 10-20 mph sustaining marine layer influence, supporting a high near 62°F for San Francisco on August 31. This cooler regime follows several warmer days earlier in late August and sits below the 1991-2020 average high of 69.6°F. Market-implied odds favoring 66-67°F reflect trader assessment of remaining uncertainty in cloud cover timing and any late-day clearing that could allow brief warming, while lower-probability bins above 70°F account for potential forecast shifts. Updated model guidance and official observations through the weekend will provide key resolution signals ahead of the date.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 29, 2026, 7:56 AM ET
Volumen
$794Fecha de finalización
31 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 29, 2026, 7:56 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model runs indicate a mostly cloudy Monday with southwest winds of 10-20 mph sustaining marine layer influence, supporting a high near 62°F for San Francisco on August 31. This cooler regime follows several warmer days earlier in late August and sits below the 1991-2020 average high of 69.6°F. Market-implied odds favoring 66-67°F reflect trader assessment of remaining uncertainty in cloud cover timing and any late-day clearing that could allow brief warming, while lower-probability bins above 70°F account for potential forecast shifts. Updated model guidance and official observations through the weekend will provide key resolution signals ahead of the date.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$794Fecha de finalización
31 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 29, 2026, 7:56 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model runs indicate a mostly cloudy Monday with southwest winds of 10-20 mph sustaining marine layer influence, supporting a high near 62°F for San Francisco on August 31. This cooler regime follows several warmer days earlier in late August and sits below the 1991-2020 average high of 69.6°F. Market-implied odds favoring 66-67°F reflect trader assessment of remaining uncertainty in cloud cover timing and any late-day clearing that could allow brief warming, while lower-probability bins above 70°F account for potential forecast shifts. Updated model guidance and official observations through the weekend will provide key resolution signals ahead of the date.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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