Recent forecasts for Shanghai on August 30 show consensus high temperatures of 32–33°C under partly cloudy skies with light southeast winds and low rain chances, positioning 32°C as the market leader at 44% implied probability. This aligns with late-summer subtropical conditions, where typical August maxima average near 31°C amid high humidity and monsoon influences. Model runs indicate modest variability from cloud cover or isolated showers that could cap peaks at 31°C or allow brief warming to 33–34°C, while cooler outcomes below 30°C remain unlikely given current steering patterns and seasonal baselines. Updated guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Shanghái el 30 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Shanghái el 30 de agosto?
32°C 56%
31°C 21%
33°C 20%
30°C 5%
NUEVO
NUEVO
30 ago 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
5%
31°C
21%
32°C
56%
33°C
20%
34°C
4%
35°C
4%
36°C or higher
<1%
32°C 56%
31°C 21%
33°C 20%
30°C 5%
NUEVO
NUEVO
30 ago 2026
26°C or below
$35 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$35 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$172 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$109 Vol.
1%
30°C
$115 Vol.
5%
31°C
$173 Vol.
21%
32°C
$934 Vol.
56%
33°C
$177 Vol.
20%
34°C
$80 Vol.
4%
35°C
$0 Vol.
4%
36°C or higher
$35 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Shanghai on August 30 show consensus high temperatures of 32–33°C under partly cloudy skies with light southeast winds and low rain chances, positioning 32°C as the market leader at 44% implied probability. This aligns with late-summer subtropical conditions, where typical August maxima average near 31°C amid high humidity and monsoon influences. Model runs indicate modest variability from cloud cover or isolated showers that could cap peaks at 31°C or allow brief warming to 33–34°C, while cooler outcomes below 30°C remain unlikely given current steering patterns and seasonal baselines. Updated guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volumen
$1,865Fecha de finalización
30 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Shanghai on August 30 show consensus high temperatures of 32–33°C under partly cloudy skies with light southeast winds and low rain chances, positioning 32°C as the market leader at 44% implied probability. This aligns with late-summer subtropical conditions, where typical August maxima average near 31°C amid high humidity and monsoon influences. Model runs indicate modest variability from cloud cover or isolated showers that could cap peaks at 31°C or allow brief warming to 33–34°C, while cooler outcomes below 30°C remain unlikely given current steering patterns and seasonal baselines. Updated guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$1,865Fecha de finalización
30 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Shanghai on August 30 show consensus high temperatures of 32–33°C under partly cloudy skies with light southeast winds and low rain chances, positioning 32°C as the market leader at 44% implied probability. This aligns with late-summer subtropical conditions, where typical August maxima average near 31°C amid high humidity and monsoon influences. Model runs indicate modest variability from cloud cover or isolated showers that could cap peaks at 31°C or allow brief warming to 33–34°C, while cooler outcomes below 30°C remain unlikely given current steering patterns and seasonal baselines. Updated guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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