Current forecast models from IMGW-PIB and European services project a maximum of 26–27°C in Warsaw on August 30 under partly cloudy skies, southerly winds of 10–15 km/h, and minimal precipitation risk below 10%. Stable high pressure and modest afternoon heating support these values, matching the market's heavy weighting on 26°C (37%) and 27°C (48%) outcomes. Recent model runs show little variance, with historical August averages near 25°C providing climatological context, though final official readings could shift if cloud cover or wind patterns evolve overnight.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Varsovia el 30 de agosto?
27°C 48%
26°C 39%
28°C 10%
25°C 7%
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
7%
26°C
39%
27°C
48%
28°C
10%
29°C
2%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
27°C 48%
26°C 39%
28°C 10%
25°C 7%
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
7%
26°C
39%
27°C
48%
28°C
10%
29°C
2%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from IMGW-PIB and European services project a maximum of 26–27°C in Warsaw on August 30 under partly cloudy skies, southerly winds of 10–15 km/h, and minimal precipitation risk below 10%. Stable high pressure and modest afternoon heating support these values, matching the market's heavy weighting on 26°C (37%) and 27°C (48%) outcomes. Recent model runs show little variance, with historical August averages near 25°C providing climatological context, though final official readings could shift if cloud cover or wind patterns evolve overnight.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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