Recent heavy rainfall and advection of cooler northern air, driven by easterly flow interacting with the monsoon trough, are suppressing daytime heating across Chongqing ahead of August 30. Official Chongqing Meteorological Bureau guidance highlights persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and localized convection on the 29th–30th, limiting solar insolation and yielding center-city highs near 31 °C while western districts may stay cooler. International models diverge modestly—some projecting 26–27 °C under heavier stratiform rain, others nearer 33 °C if clearing occurs earlier—creating the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 26–29 °C. Traders are weighting local nowcasts against ensemble spread and the timing of any post-frontal clearing, with resolution hinging on the official maximum recorded at municipal stations. Updated CMA guidance and next model runs will likely sharpen the range before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Chongqing el 30 de agosto?
28°C 21%
29°C 21%
26°C or below 19%
27°C 16%
26°C or below
19%
27°C
16%
28°C
21%
29°C
21%
30°C
14%
31°C
6%
32°C
4%
33°C
2%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
28°C 21%
29°C 21%
26°C or below 19%
27°C 16%
26°C or below
19%
27°C
16%
28°C
21%
29°C
21%
30°C
14%
31°C
6%
32°C
4%
33°C
2%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent heavy rainfall and advection of cooler northern air, driven by easterly flow interacting with the monsoon trough, are suppressing daytime heating across Chongqing ahead of August 30. Official Chongqing Meteorological Bureau guidance highlights persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and localized convection on the 29th–30th, limiting solar insolation and yielding center-city highs near 31 °C while western districts may stay cooler. International models diverge modestly—some projecting 26–27 °C under heavier stratiform rain, others nearer 33 °C if clearing occurs earlier—creating the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 26–29 °C. Traders are weighting local nowcasts against ensemble spread and the timing of any post-frontal clearing, with resolution hinging on the official maximum recorded at municipal stations. Updated CMA guidance and next model runs will likely sharpen the range before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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