Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance points to a Chicago high near 85–87°F on August 30, supported by south-southwest winds of 10–15 mph with gusts to 25 mph that enhance mixing while morning shower chances (around 30%) and partly cloudy skies limit peak solar heating. These factors keep trader-implied odds tightly clustered between the 84–85°F and 86–87°F bins, reflecting genuine uncertainty in how much cloud cover will suppress afternoon temperatures relative to climatological normals near 81°F. Updated model runs and any shifts in precipitation timing over the next 24 hours remain the key near-term drivers for market movement.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Chicago el 30 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Chicago el 30 de agosto?
84-85°F 32%
86-87°F 30%
82-83°F 17%
88-89°F 15%
NUEVO
NUEVO
30 ago 2026
77°F o menos
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
3%
82-83°F
17%
84-85°F
32%
86-87°F
30%
88-89°F
15%
90-91°F
5%
92-93°F
2%
94-95°F
<1%
96°F o más
<1%
84-85°F 32%
86-87°F 30%
82-83°F 17%
88-89°F 15%
NUEVO
NUEVO
30 ago 2026
77°F o menos
$127 Vol.
<1%
78-79°F
$149 Vol.
<1%
80-81°F
$307 Vol.
3%
82-83°F
$394 Vol.
17%
84-85°F
$220 Vol.
32%
86-87°F
$329 Vol.
30%
88-89°F
$1,089 Vol.
15%
90-91°F
$237 Vol.
5%
92-93°F
$52 Vol.
2%
94-95°F
$158 Vol.
<1%
96°F o más
$353 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance points to a Chicago high near 85–87°F on August 30, supported by south-southwest winds of 10–15 mph with gusts to 25 mph that enhance mixing while morning shower chances (around 30%) and partly cloudy skies limit peak solar heating. These factors keep trader-implied odds tightly clustered between the 84–85°F and 86–87°F bins, reflecting genuine uncertainty in how much cloud cover will suppress afternoon temperatures relative to climatological normals near 81°F. Updated model runs and any shifts in precipitation timing over the next 24 hours remain the key near-term drivers for market movement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 28, 2026, 10:56 AM ET
Volumen
$3,414Fecha de finalización
30 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 28, 2026, 10:56 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance points to a Chicago high near 85–87°F on August 30, supported by south-southwest winds of 10–15 mph with gusts to 25 mph that enhance mixing while morning shower chances (around 30%) and partly cloudy skies limit peak solar heating. These factors keep trader-implied odds tightly clustered between the 84–85°F and 86–87°F bins, reflecting genuine uncertainty in how much cloud cover will suppress afternoon temperatures relative to climatological normals near 81°F. Updated model runs and any shifts in precipitation timing over the next 24 hours remain the key near-term drivers for market movement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$3,414Fecha de finalización
30 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 28, 2026, 10:56 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance points to a Chicago high near 85–87°F on August 30, supported by south-southwest winds of 10–15 mph with gusts to 25 mph that enhance mixing while morning shower chances (around 30%) and partly cloudy skies limit peak solar heating. These factors keep trader-implied odds tightly clustered between the 84–85°F and 86–87°F bins, reflecting genuine uncertainty in how much cloud cover will suppress afternoon temperatures relative to climatological normals near 81°F. Updated model runs and any shifts in precipitation timing over the next 24 hours remain the key near-term drivers for market movement.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes