Persistent southwest monsoon (habagat) activity, reinforced by a nearby low-pressure area, drives widespread cloud cover, scattered to heavy thunderstorms, and high humidity across Metro Manila, suppressing solar heating and capping daytime highs near or below seasonal norms of 30–31°C. Official PAGASA guidance points to a 25–28°C range with near-100% rain probability on August 30, while ensemble models show modest spread tied to variations in rainfall timing, convective intensity, and wind-driven mixing. These factors explain the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 29–31°C, as small differences in insolation or storm timing can shift the observed maximum by 1–2°C. Traders weigh fresh model runs and PAGASA updates through the weekend for resolution signals.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Manila el 30 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Manila el 30 de agosto?
30°C 26%
31°C 20%
32°C 20%
29°C 20%
NUEVO
NUEVO
30 ago 2026
24°C o menos
1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
7%
28°C
13%
29°C
20%
30°C
26%
31°C
20%
32°C
20%
33°C
2%
34°C o más
1%
30°C 26%
31°C 20%
32°C 20%
29°C 20%
NUEVO
NUEVO
30 ago 2026
24°C o menos
$46 Vol.
1%
25°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$0 Vol.
1%
27°C
$20 Vol.
7%
28°C
$2 Vol.
13%
29°C
$0 Vol.
20%
30°C
$0 Vol.
26%
31°C
$35 Vol.
20%
32°C
$0 Vol.
20%
33°C
$0 Vol.
2%
34°C o más
$40 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon (habagat) activity, reinforced by a nearby low-pressure area, drives widespread cloud cover, scattered to heavy thunderstorms, and high humidity across Metro Manila, suppressing solar heating and capping daytime highs near or below seasonal norms of 30–31°C. Official PAGASA guidance points to a 25–28°C range with near-100% rain probability on August 30, while ensemble models show modest spread tied to variations in rainfall timing, convective intensity, and wind-driven mixing. These factors explain the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 29–31°C, as small differences in insolation or storm timing can shift the observed maximum by 1–2°C. Traders weigh fresh model runs and PAGASA updates through the weekend for resolution signals.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volumen
$143Fecha de finalización
30 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon (habagat) activity, reinforced by a nearby low-pressure area, drives widespread cloud cover, scattered to heavy thunderstorms, and high humidity across Metro Manila, suppressing solar heating and capping daytime highs near or below seasonal norms of 30–31°C. Official PAGASA guidance points to a 25–28°C range with near-100% rain probability on August 30, while ensemble models show modest spread tied to variations in rainfall timing, convective intensity, and wind-driven mixing. These factors explain the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 29–31°C, as small differences in insolation or storm timing can shift the observed maximum by 1–2°C. Traders weigh fresh model runs and PAGASA updates through the weekend for resolution signals.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$143Fecha de finalización
30 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent southwest monsoon (habagat) activity, reinforced by a nearby low-pressure area, drives widespread cloud cover, scattered to heavy thunderstorms, and high humidity across Metro Manila, suppressing solar heating and capping daytime highs near or below seasonal norms of 30–31°C. Official PAGASA guidance points to a 25–28°C range with near-100% rain probability on August 30, while ensemble models show modest spread tied to variations in rainfall timing, convective intensity, and wind-driven mixing. These factors explain the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 29–31°C, as small differences in insolation or storm timing can shift the observed maximum by 1–2°C. Traders weigh fresh model runs and PAGASA updates through the weekend for resolution signals.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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