**Forecast models show persistent tropical moisture and convective activity over Shenzhen on August 30, with heavy rain and thunderstorms expected to reduce solar insolation and limit daytime heating.** This setup, driven by high atmospheric humidity, light steering winds, and widespread cloud cover, produces closely matched market-implied odds for a 31–32°C maximum, as traders weigh the balance between partial clearing allowing brief radiative warming versus sustained precipitation suppressing peaks. Official guidance from sources like the Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau and international models (e.g., Yr.no, European ensembles) consistently project 30–32°C highs amid 26+ mm of rain, with slight variations in storm timing and intensity creating the narrow spread between 31°C and 32°C outcomes. Upcoming model runs and observational updates over the next 48 hours will refine cloud and rainfall timing, directly influencing resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Shenzhen el 30 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Shenzhen el 30 de agosto?
32°C 33%
31°C 31%
30°C 20%
33°C 12%
NUEVO
NUEVO
30 ago 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
2%
29°C
5%
30°C
20%
31°C
31%
32°C
33%
33°C
12%
34°C
5%
35°C or higher
1%
32°C 33%
31°C 31%
30°C 20%
33°C 12%
NUEVO
NUEVO
30 ago 2026
25°C or below
$67 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$81 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$190 Vol.
1%
28°C
$131 Vol.
2%
29°C
$17 Vol.
5%
30°C
$36 Vol.
20%
31°C
$139 Vol.
31%
32°C
$129 Vol.
33%
33°C
$7 Vol.
12%
34°C
$145 Vol.
5%
35°C or higher
$27 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models show persistent tropical moisture and convective activity over Shenzhen on August 30, with heavy rain and thunderstorms expected to reduce solar insolation and limit daytime heating.** This setup, driven by high atmospheric humidity, light steering winds, and widespread cloud cover, produces closely matched market-implied odds for a 31–32°C maximum, as traders weigh the balance between partial clearing allowing brief radiative warming versus sustained precipitation suppressing peaks. Official guidance from sources like the Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau and international models (e.g., Yr.no, European ensembles) consistently project 30–32°C highs amid 26+ mm of rain, with slight variations in storm timing and intensity creating the narrow spread between 31°C and 32°C outcomes. Upcoming model runs and observational updates over the next 48 hours will refine cloud and rainfall timing, directly influencing resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volumen
$968Fecha de finalización
30 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models show persistent tropical moisture and convective activity over Shenzhen on August 30, with heavy rain and thunderstorms expected to reduce solar insolation and limit daytime heating.** This setup, driven by high atmospheric humidity, light steering winds, and widespread cloud cover, produces closely matched market-implied odds for a 31–32°C maximum, as traders weigh the balance between partial clearing allowing brief radiative warming versus sustained precipitation suppressing peaks. Official guidance from sources like the Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau and international models (e.g., Yr.no, European ensembles) consistently project 30–32°C highs amid 26+ mm of rain, with slight variations in storm timing and intensity creating the narrow spread between 31°C and 32°C outcomes. Upcoming model runs and observational updates over the next 48 hours will refine cloud and rainfall timing, directly influencing resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$968Fecha de finalización
30 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models show persistent tropical moisture and convective activity over Shenzhen on August 30, with heavy rain and thunderstorms expected to reduce solar insolation and limit daytime heating.** This setup, driven by high atmospheric humidity, light steering winds, and widespread cloud cover, produces closely matched market-implied odds for a 31–32°C maximum, as traders weigh the balance between partial clearing allowing brief radiative warming versus sustained precipitation suppressing peaks. Official guidance from sources like the Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau and international models (e.g., Yr.no, European ensembles) consistently project 30–32°C highs amid 26+ mm of rain, with slight variations in storm timing and intensity creating the narrow spread between 31°C and 32°C outcomes. Upcoming model runs and observational updates over the next 48 hours will refine cloud and rainfall timing, directly influencing resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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