Persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 85-95%, and scattered thunderstorms tied to the East Asian monsoon are keeping overnight radiative cooling limited, supporting minimum temperatures of 26-28°C on August 30 rather than the seasonal 25°C baseline. Multiple models, including those from WeatherBug, Yr.no, and local Shenzhen forecasts, converge on lows around 26-27°C amid 70-90% rain probability that prevents sharper drops while avoiding extreme warmth. This scientific setup drives the leading market-implied odds on 28°C and 25°C, with traders weighing model spread and recent overnight readings near 27-28°C. Official Shenzhen Meteorological Administration observations at resolution time will settle the outcome amid typical late-summer variability.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Shenzhen el 30 de agosto?
¿Temperatura más baja en Shenzhen el 30 de agosto?
25°C 93%
24°C 50%
26°C 50%
23°C or below 12%
NUEVO
NUEVO
30 ago 2026
23°C or below
12%
24°C
50%
25°C
93%
26°C
50%
27°C
31%
28°C
31%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C or higher
<1%
25°C 93%
24°C 50%
26°C 50%
23°C or below 12%
NUEVO
NUEVO
30 ago 2026
23°C or below
$16 Vol.
12%
24°C
$10 Vol.
50%
25°C
$10 Vol.
93%
26°C
$11 Vol.
50%
27°C
$64 Vol.
31%
28°C
$85 Vol.
31%
29°C
$10 Vol.
1%
30°C
$10 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$10 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$145 Vol.
1%
33°C or higher
$5 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 85-95%, and scattered thunderstorms tied to the East Asian monsoon are keeping overnight radiative cooling limited, supporting minimum temperatures of 26-28°C on August 30 rather than the seasonal 25°C baseline. Multiple models, including those from WeatherBug, Yr.no, and local Shenzhen forecasts, converge on lows around 26-27°C amid 70-90% rain probability that prevents sharper drops while avoiding extreme warmth. This scientific setup drives the leading market-implied odds on 28°C and 25°C, with traders weighing model spread and recent overnight readings near 27-28°C. Official Shenzhen Meteorological Administration observations at resolution time will settle the outcome amid typical late-summer variability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$376Fecha de finalización
30 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 85-95%, and scattered thunderstorms tied to the East Asian monsoon are keeping overnight radiative cooling limited, supporting minimum temperatures of 26-28°C on August 30 rather than the seasonal 25°C baseline. Multiple models, including those from WeatherBug, Yr.no, and local Shenzhen forecasts, converge on lows around 26-27°C amid 70-90% rain probability that prevents sharper drops while avoiding extreme warmth. This scientific setup drives the leading market-implied odds on 28°C and 25°C, with traders weighing model spread and recent overnight readings near 27-28°C. Official Shenzhen Meteorological Administration observations at resolution time will settle the outcome amid typical late-summer variability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$376Fecha de finalización
30 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 85-95%, and scattered thunderstorms tied to the East Asian monsoon are keeping overnight radiative cooling limited, supporting minimum temperatures of 26-28°C on August 30 rather than the seasonal 25°C baseline. Multiple models, including those from WeatherBug, Yr.no, and local Shenzhen forecasts, converge on lows around 26-27°C amid 70-90% rain probability that prevents sharper drops while avoiding extreme warmth. This scientific setup drives the leading market-implied odds on 28°C and 25°C, with traders weighing model spread and recent overnight readings near 27-28°C. Official Shenzhen Meteorological Administration observations at resolution time will settle the outcome amid typical late-summer variability.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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