Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate overnight lows in Shenzhen on August 31 will likely reach 25–26°C amid persistent cloud cover, moderate northeasterly winds, and widespread rain or thunderstorms associated with the East Asian monsoon. High dew points near 25°C and elevated humidity levels above 90% at night limit radiational cooling, keeping minimum temperatures close to seasonal norms for late August in this subtropical region. Model consensus supports these values rather than sharper drops or unusual warming, with precipitation expected to further stabilize conditions through the period. Trader-implied probabilities favoring 25–26°C reflect this alignment of current observational trends and short-range guidance, though minor forecast revisions from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration could still shift outcomes ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más baja en Shenzhen el 31 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más baja en Shenzhen el 31 de agosto?
24°C 91%
22°C or below 90%
23°C 87%
32°C or higher 82%
NUEVO
NUEVO
31 ago 2026
22°C or below
90%
23°C
87%
24°C
91%
25°C
47%
26°C
52%
27°C
38%
28°C
47%
29°C
49%
30°C
2%
31°C
46%
32°C or higher
82%
24°C 91%
22°C or below 90%
23°C 87%
32°C or higher 82%
NUEVO
NUEVO
31 ago 2026
22°C or below
$0 Vol.
90%
23°C
$0 Vol.
87%
24°C
$0 Vol.
91%
25°C
$0 Vol.
47%
26°C
$0 Vol.
52%
27°C
$0 Vol.
38%
28°C
$0 Vol.
47%
29°C
$0 Vol.
49%
30°C
$0 Vol.
2%
31°C
$0 Vol.
46%
32°C or higher
$130 Vol.
82%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate overnight lows in Shenzhen on August 31 will likely reach 25–26°C amid persistent cloud cover, moderate northeasterly winds, and widespread rain or thunderstorms associated with the East Asian monsoon. High dew points near 25°C and elevated humidity levels above 90% at night limit radiational cooling, keeping minimum temperatures close to seasonal norms for late August in this subtropical region. Model consensus supports these values rather than sharper drops or unusual warming, with precipitation expected to further stabilize conditions through the period. Trader-implied probabilities favoring 25–26°C reflect this alignment of current observational trends and short-range guidance, though minor forecast revisions from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration could still shift outcomes ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$130Fecha de finalización
31 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate overnight lows in Shenzhen on August 31 will likely reach 25–26°C amid persistent cloud cover, moderate northeasterly winds, and widespread rain or thunderstorms associated with the East Asian monsoon. High dew points near 25°C and elevated humidity levels above 90% at night limit radiational cooling, keeping minimum temperatures close to seasonal norms for late August in this subtropical region. Model consensus supports these values rather than sharper drops or unusual warming, with precipitation expected to further stabilize conditions through the period. Trader-implied probabilities favoring 25–26°C reflect this alignment of current observational trends and short-range guidance, though minor forecast revisions from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration could still shift outcomes ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$130Fecha de finalización
31 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate overnight lows in Shenzhen on August 31 will likely reach 25–26°C amid persistent cloud cover, moderate northeasterly winds, and widespread rain or thunderstorms associated with the East Asian monsoon. High dew points near 25°C and elevated humidity levels above 90% at night limit radiational cooling, keeping minimum temperatures close to seasonal norms for late August in this subtropical region. Model consensus supports these values rather than sharper drops or unusual warming, with precipitation expected to further stabilize conditions through the period. Trader-implied probabilities favoring 25–26°C reflect this alignment of current observational trends and short-range guidance, though minor forecast revisions from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration could still shift outcomes ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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