Recent forecasts for Shenzhen on August 29, 2026, show expected overnight lows in the 26–28°C range amid subtropical monsoon conditions, high humidity near 85–90%, and scattered thunderstorms that sustain cloud cover and reduce radiative cooling overnight. This setup, typical of August's rainy season with average lows near 25–27°C historically, limits sharp temperature drops and positions 27–29°C as the most likely minimum outcomes. Trader consensus, reflected in elevated implied probabilities for 29°C, aligns with model consensus on persistent southerly flow and precipitation moderating extremes, while lower probabilities for 26°C or below reflect limited potential for clearer skies or stronger advection of cooler air. Updated observational data from early morning hours, showing temperatures holding near 27–28°C, further reinforces this range ahead of final daily readings.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Shenzhen el 29 de agosto?
¿Temperatura más baja en Shenzhen el 29 de agosto?
27°C 47%
28°C 47%
29°C 45%
26°C 8%
NUEVO
NUEVO
29 ago 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
4%
25°C
5%
26°C
8%
27°C
47%
28°C
47%
29°C
45%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 47%
28°C 47%
29°C 45%
26°C 8%
NUEVO
NUEVO
29 ago 2026
22°C or below
$5,437 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$107 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$164 Vol.
4%
25°C
$91 Vol.
5%
26°C
$31 Vol.
8%
27°C
$0 Vol.
47%
28°C
$0 Vol.
47%
29°C
$15 Vol.
45%
30°C
$112 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$68 Vol.
<1%
32°C or higher
$138 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Shenzhen on August 29, 2026, show expected overnight lows in the 26–28°C range amid subtropical monsoon conditions, high humidity near 85–90%, and scattered thunderstorms that sustain cloud cover and reduce radiative cooling overnight. This setup, typical of August's rainy season with average lows near 25–27°C historically, limits sharp temperature drops and positions 27–29°C as the most likely minimum outcomes. Trader consensus, reflected in elevated implied probabilities for 29°C, aligns with model consensus on persistent southerly flow and precipitation moderating extremes, while lower probabilities for 26°C or below reflect limited potential for clearer skies or stronger advection of cooler air. Updated observational data from early morning hours, showing temperatures holding near 27–28°C, further reinforces this range ahead of final daily readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$6,164Fecha de finalización
29 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Shenzhen on August 29, 2026, show expected overnight lows in the 26–28°C range amid subtropical monsoon conditions, high humidity near 85–90%, and scattered thunderstorms that sustain cloud cover and reduce radiative cooling overnight. This setup, typical of August's rainy season with average lows near 25–27°C historically, limits sharp temperature drops and positions 27–29°C as the most likely minimum outcomes. Trader consensus, reflected in elevated implied probabilities for 29°C, aligns with model consensus on persistent southerly flow and precipitation moderating extremes, while lower probabilities for 26°C or below reflect limited potential for clearer skies or stronger advection of cooler air. Updated observational data from early morning hours, showing temperatures holding near 27–28°C, further reinforces this range ahead of final daily readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$6,164Fecha de finalización
29 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Shenzhen on August 29, 2026, show expected overnight lows in the 26–28°C range amid subtropical monsoon conditions, high humidity near 85–90%, and scattered thunderstorms that sustain cloud cover and reduce radiative cooling overnight. This setup, typical of August's rainy season with average lows near 25–27°C historically, limits sharp temperature drops and positions 27–29°C as the most likely minimum outcomes. Trader consensus, reflected in elevated implied probabilities for 29°C, aligns with model consensus on persistent southerly flow and precipitation moderating extremes, while lower probabilities for 26°C or below reflect limited potential for clearer skies or stronger advection of cooler air. Updated observational data from early morning hours, showing temperatures holding near 27–28°C, further reinforces this range ahead of final daily readings.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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