Northwesterly winds and mostly clear skies are expected to drive daytime warming in Wellington on August 30, with official MetService guidance forecasting a high of 16°C amid fine conditions and gusty northwest flow. Recent late-August observations show daily maxima of 14–17°C under similar patterns, with the warmest readings occurring during periods of stronger northerly advection and reduced cloud cover. Ensemble model consensus supports a peak near 15–16°C, though localized sheltering or slight forecast adjustments could push the official reading to 17°C, aligning with the dominant market-implied probability. Minimal precipitation risk and stable steering patterns limit downside variance below 15°C, while the low odds on 18°C+ reflect limited potential for additional warming before the next frontal system arrives.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Wellington el 30 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Wellington el 30 de agosto?
17°C 55%
16°C 19%
18°C 17%
15°C 4%
NUEVO
$15,512 Vol.
NUEVO
$15,512 Vol.
30 ago 2026
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
4%
16°C
19%
17°C
55%
18°C
17%
19°C
2%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
<1%
17°C 55%
16°C 19%
18°C 17%
15°C 4%
NUEVO
$15,512 Vol.
NUEVO
$15,512 Vol.
30 ago 2026
11°C or below
$498 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$388 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$381 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$788 Vol.
1%
15°C
$1,736 Vol.
4%
16°C
$5,594 Vol.
19%
17°C
$2,427 Vol.
55%
18°C
$2,108 Vol.
17%
19°C
$607 Vol.
2%
20°C
$494 Vol.
<1%
21°C or higher
$489 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Northwesterly winds and mostly clear skies are expected to drive daytime warming in Wellington on August 30, with official MetService guidance forecasting a high of 16°C amid fine conditions and gusty northwest flow. Recent late-August observations show daily maxima of 14–17°C under similar patterns, with the warmest readings occurring during periods of stronger northerly advection and reduced cloud cover. Ensemble model consensus supports a peak near 15–16°C, though localized sheltering or slight forecast adjustments could push the official reading to 17°C, aligning with the dominant market-implied probability. Minimal precipitation risk and stable steering patterns limit downside variance below 15°C, while the low odds on 18°C+ reflect limited potential for additional warming before the next frontal system arrives.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volumen
$15,512Fecha de finalización
30 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Northwesterly winds and mostly clear skies are expected to drive daytime warming in Wellington on August 30, with official MetService guidance forecasting a high of 16°C amid fine conditions and gusty northwest flow. Recent late-August observations show daily maxima of 14–17°C under similar patterns, with the warmest readings occurring during periods of stronger northerly advection and reduced cloud cover. Ensemble model consensus supports a peak near 15–16°C, though localized sheltering or slight forecast adjustments could push the official reading to 17°C, aligning with the dominant market-implied probability. Minimal precipitation risk and stable steering patterns limit downside variance below 15°C, while the low odds on 18°C+ reflect limited potential for additional warming before the next frontal system arrives.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$15,512Fecha de finalización
30 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...Northwesterly winds and mostly clear skies are expected to drive daytime warming in Wellington on August 30, with official MetService guidance forecasting a high of 16°C amid fine conditions and gusty northwest flow. Recent late-August observations show daily maxima of 14–17°C under similar patterns, with the warmest readings occurring during periods of stronger northerly advection and reduced cloud cover. Ensemble model consensus supports a peak near 15–16°C, though localized sheltering or slight forecast adjustments could push the official reading to 17°C, aligning with the dominant market-implied probability. Minimal precipitation risk and stable steering patterns limit downside variance below 15°C, while the low odds on 18°C+ reflect limited potential for additional warming before the next frontal system arrives.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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