Recent forecast guidance from sources including the Met Office and WeatherBug points to an overnight minimum near 10–11°C in Wellington on August 30, driven by clear skies and persistent northwesterly winds that promote moderate radiative cooling while limiting extreme drops through mixing. These conditions align with late-winter climatology for the region, where typical minima range 8–11°C, and explain why trader probabilities cluster tightly around 9–11°C outcomes with little support for sub-8°C or double-digit highs overnight. Updated model runs from ECMWF and GFS, plus local MetService briefings, will further refine wind speeds and cloud cover that directly influence the precise low.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Wellington el 30 de agosto?
¿Temperatura más baja en Wellington el 30 de agosto?
8°C 50%
12°C 50%
7°C 44%
11°C 30%
NUEVO
NUEVO
30 ago 2026
6°C or below
12%
7°C
44%
8°C
50%
9°C
27%
10°C
27%
11°C
30%
12°C
50%
13°C
8%
14°C
8%
15°C
8%
16°C or higher
3%
8°C 50%
12°C 50%
7°C 44%
11°C 30%
NUEVO
NUEVO
30 ago 2026
6°C or below
$5 Vol.
12%
7°C
$0 Vol.
44%
8°C
$10 Vol.
50%
9°C
$0 Vol.
27%
10°C
$0 Vol.
27%
11°C
$0 Vol.
30%
12°C
$0 Vol.
50%
13°C
$5 Vol.
8%
14°C
$5 Vol.
8%
15°C
$5 Vol.
8%
16°C or higher
$145 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from sources including the Met Office and WeatherBug points to an overnight minimum near 10–11°C in Wellington on August 30, driven by clear skies and persistent northwesterly winds that promote moderate radiative cooling while limiting extreme drops through mixing. These conditions align with late-winter climatology for the region, where typical minima range 8–11°C, and explain why trader probabilities cluster tightly around 9–11°C outcomes with little support for sub-8°C or double-digit highs overnight. Updated model runs from ECMWF and GFS, plus local MetService briefings, will further refine wind speeds and cloud cover that directly influence the precise low.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volumen
$175Fecha de finalización
30 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from sources including the Met Office and WeatherBug points to an overnight minimum near 10–11°C in Wellington on August 30, driven by clear skies and persistent northwesterly winds that promote moderate radiative cooling while limiting extreme drops through mixing. These conditions align with late-winter climatology for the region, where typical minima range 8–11°C, and explain why trader probabilities cluster tightly around 9–11°C outcomes with little support for sub-8°C or double-digit highs overnight. Updated model runs from ECMWF and GFS, plus local MetService briefings, will further refine wind speeds and cloud cover that directly influence the precise low.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$175Fecha de finalización
30 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast guidance from sources including the Met Office and WeatherBug points to an overnight minimum near 10–11°C in Wellington on August 30, driven by clear skies and persistent northwesterly winds that promote moderate radiative cooling while limiting extreme drops through mixing. These conditions align with late-winter climatology for the region, where typical minima range 8–11°C, and explain why trader probabilities cluster tightly around 9–11°C outcomes with little support for sub-8°C or double-digit highs overnight. Updated model runs from ECMWF and GFS, plus local MetService briefings, will further refine wind speeds and cloud cover that directly influence the precise low.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes