**Official MetService forecasts indicate a minimum temperature near 5°C for Wellington on August 31, driven by strong westerly winds and a few morning showers under a mainly fine regime.** This aligns with late-winter patterns where overnight radiative cooling is moderated by persistent northwesterlies, while historical averages place typical lows around 8–9°C. Recent model runs show limited spread, with some guidance suggesting values closer to 6–8°C depending on exact wind timing and cloud cover, keeping lower outcomes (5–9°C) competitive despite the market-implied lead for 15°C+. Traders appear to weigh the possibility of milder conditions persisting into the final weekend against the strengthening westerlies expected to enhance cooling. Updated MetService and NIWA guidance ahead of resolution will refine the precise minimum.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Wellington el 31 de agosto?
¿Temperatura más baja en Wellington el 31 de agosto?
15°C o más 84%
12°C 49%
13°C 49%
9°C 30%
NUEVO
NUEVO
31 ago 2026
5°C or below
7%
6°C
6%
7°C
11%
8°C
29%
9°C
30%
10°C
29%
11°C
26%
12°C
49%
13°C
49%
14°C
2%
15°C o más
84%
15°C o más 84%
12°C 49%
13°C 49%
9°C 30%
NUEVO
NUEVO
31 ago 2026
5°C or below
$0 Vol.
7%
6°C
$0 Vol.
6%
7°C
$0 Vol.
11%
8°C
$0 Vol.
29%
9°C
$0 Vol.
30%
10°C
$0 Vol.
29%
11°C
$0 Vol.
26%
12°C
$0 Vol.
49%
13°C
$0 Vol.
49%
14°C
$0 Vol.
2%
15°C o más
$0 Vol.
84%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official MetService forecasts indicate a minimum temperature near 5°C for Wellington on August 31, driven by strong westerly winds and a few morning showers under a mainly fine regime.** This aligns with late-winter patterns where overnight radiative cooling is moderated by persistent northwesterlies, while historical averages place typical lows around 8–9°C. Recent model runs show limited spread, with some guidance suggesting values closer to 6–8°C depending on exact wind timing and cloud cover, keeping lower outcomes (5–9°C) competitive despite the market-implied lead for 15°C+. Traders appear to weigh the possibility of milder conditions persisting into the final weekend against the strengthening westerlies expected to enhance cooling. Updated MetService and NIWA guidance ahead of resolution will refine the precise minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 29, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volumen
$0Fecha de finalización
31 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 29, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official MetService forecasts indicate a minimum temperature near 5°C for Wellington on August 31, driven by strong westerly winds and a few morning showers under a mainly fine regime.** This aligns with late-winter patterns where overnight radiative cooling is moderated by persistent northwesterlies, while historical averages place typical lows around 8–9°C. Recent model runs show limited spread, with some guidance suggesting values closer to 6–8°C depending on exact wind timing and cloud cover, keeping lower outcomes (5–9°C) competitive despite the market-implied lead for 15°C+. Traders appear to weigh the possibility of milder conditions persisting into the final weekend against the strengthening westerlies expected to enhance cooling. Updated MetService and NIWA guidance ahead of resolution will refine the precise minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$0Fecha de finalización
31 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 29, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Official MetService forecasts indicate a minimum temperature near 5°C for Wellington on August 31, driven by strong westerly winds and a few morning showers under a mainly fine regime.** This aligns with late-winter patterns where overnight radiative cooling is moderated by persistent northwesterlies, while historical averages place typical lows around 8–9°C. Recent model runs show limited spread, with some guidance suggesting values closer to 6–8°C depending on exact wind timing and cloud cover, keeping lower outcomes (5–9°C) competitive despite the market-implied lead for 15°C+. Traders appear to weigh the possibility of milder conditions persisting into the final weekend against the strengthening westerlies expected to enhance cooling. Updated MetService and NIWA guidance ahead of resolution will refine the precise minimum.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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