Recent forecasts from MetService and international models indicate a minimum temperature near 9–11°C in Wellington on August 29, 2026, aligning with the market's strong consensus around 11°C (55.5%) and 10°C (20%). Northerly winds advecting milder maritime air, combined with mostly clear skies and light cloud cover under a stable high-pressure influence, are limiting nocturnal radiative cooling typical for late winter. Historical climatology shows average overnight lows near 9–10°C this time of year, while current model consensus and observed daytime readings around 13–14°C support little deviation below 10°C. No significant cold-air outbreak or frontal passage is expected before resolution, keeping lower outcomes like 9°C or below at minimal implied probability. Updated official observations tonight will determine final settlement.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Wellington el 29 de agosto?
¿Temperatura más baja en Wellington el 29 de agosto?
10°C 20%
9°C 2%
6°C or below <1%
7°C <1%
NUEVO
NUEVO
29 ago 2026
6°C or below
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
2%
10°C
20%
11°C
49%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C or higher
<1%
10°C 20%
9°C 2%
6°C or below <1%
7°C <1%
NUEVO
NUEVO
29 ago 2026
6°C or below
$316 Vol.
<1%
7°C
$217 Vol.
<1%
8°C
$208 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$204 Vol.
2%
10°C
$0 Vol.
20%
11°C
$155 Vol.
49%
12°C
$267 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$62 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$30 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$35 Vol.
<1%
16°C or higher
$35 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from MetService and international models indicate a minimum temperature near 9–11°C in Wellington on August 29, 2026, aligning with the market's strong consensus around 11°C (55.5%) and 10°C (20%). Northerly winds advecting milder maritime air, combined with mostly clear skies and light cloud cover under a stable high-pressure influence, are limiting nocturnal radiative cooling typical for late winter. Historical climatology shows average overnight lows near 9–10°C this time of year, while current model consensus and observed daytime readings around 13–14°C support little deviation below 10°C. No significant cold-air outbreak or frontal passage is expected before resolution, keeping lower outcomes like 9°C or below at minimal implied probability. Updated official observations tonight will determine final settlement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 27, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volumen
$1,530Fecha de finalización
29 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 27, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from MetService and international models indicate a minimum temperature near 9–11°C in Wellington on August 29, 2026, aligning with the market's strong consensus around 11°C (55.5%) and 10°C (20%). Northerly winds advecting milder maritime air, combined with mostly clear skies and light cloud cover under a stable high-pressure influence, are limiting nocturnal radiative cooling typical for late winter. Historical climatology shows average overnight lows near 9–10°C this time of year, while current model consensus and observed daytime readings around 13–14°C support little deviation below 10°C. No significant cold-air outbreak or frontal passage is expected before resolution, keeping lower outcomes like 9°C or below at minimal implied probability. Updated official observations tonight will determine final settlement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$1,530Fecha de finalización
29 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 27, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from MetService and international models indicate a minimum temperature near 9–11°C in Wellington on August 29, 2026, aligning with the market's strong consensus around 11°C (55.5%) and 10°C (20%). Northerly winds advecting milder maritime air, combined with mostly clear skies and light cloud cover under a stable high-pressure influence, are limiting nocturnal radiative cooling typical for late winter. Historical climatology shows average overnight lows near 9–10°C this time of year, while current model consensus and observed daytime readings around 13–14°C support little deviation below 10°C. No significant cold-air outbreak or frontal passage is expected before resolution, keeping lower outcomes like 9°C or below at minimal implied probability. Updated official observations tonight will determine final settlement.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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