Recent numerical weather prediction models indicate peak temperatures in Istanbul on August 31 will likely reach 26–28°C under mostly sunny skies and moderate northeasterly winds, following a brief cool spell with showers on August 29. This positioning explains the near-even market split between 26°C and 27°C outcomes, as small variations in cloud timing, boundary-layer mixing, or model bias on maximum diurnal heating determine the exact high. Historical late-August climatology for the region centers near 28–29°C, yet current atmospheric conditions favor values at the lower end of that range. Updated high-resolution runs from agencies such as the Turkish State Meteorological Service and global ensembles will provide the key resolution signals before market close.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Estambul el 31 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Estambul el 31 de agosto?
27°C 44%
26°C 41%
24°C 8%
28°C 7%
NUEVO
NUEVO
31 ago 2026
23°C or below
4%
24°C
8%
25°C
6%
26°C
41%
27°C
44%
28°C
7%
29°C
5%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
27°C 44%
26°C 41%
24°C 8%
28°C 7%
NUEVO
NUEVO
31 ago 2026
23°C or below
$0 Vol.
4%
24°C
$0 Vol.
8%
25°C
$20 Vol.
6%
26°C
$178 Vol.
41%
27°C
$24 Vol.
44%
28°C
$0 Vol.
7%
29°C
$0 Vol.
5%
30°C
$0 Vol.
1%
31°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
33°C or higher
$0 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models indicate peak temperatures in Istanbul on August 31 will likely reach 26–28°C under mostly sunny skies and moderate northeasterly winds, following a brief cool spell with showers on August 29. This positioning explains the near-even market split between 26°C and 27°C outcomes, as small variations in cloud timing, boundary-layer mixing, or model bias on maximum diurnal heating determine the exact high. Historical late-August climatology for the region centers near 28–29°C, yet current atmospheric conditions favor values at the lower end of that range. Updated high-resolution runs from agencies such as the Turkish State Meteorological Service and global ensembles will provide the key resolution signals before market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 29, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volumen
$223Fecha de finalización
31 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 29, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models indicate peak temperatures in Istanbul on August 31 will likely reach 26–28°C under mostly sunny skies and moderate northeasterly winds, following a brief cool spell with showers on August 29. This positioning explains the near-even market split between 26°C and 27°C outcomes, as small variations in cloud timing, boundary-layer mixing, or model bias on maximum diurnal heating determine the exact high. Historical late-August climatology for the region centers near 28–29°C, yet current atmospheric conditions favor values at the lower end of that range. Updated high-resolution runs from agencies such as the Turkish State Meteorological Service and global ensembles will provide the key resolution signals before market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$223Fecha de finalización
31 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 29, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction models indicate peak temperatures in Istanbul on August 31 will likely reach 26–28°C under mostly sunny skies and moderate northeasterly winds, following a brief cool spell with showers on August 29. This positioning explains the near-even market split between 26°C and 27°C outcomes, as small variations in cloud timing, boundary-layer mixing, or model bias on maximum diurnal heating determine the exact high. Historical late-August climatology for the region centers near 28–29°C, yet current atmospheric conditions favor values at the lower end of that range. Updated high-resolution runs from agencies such as the Turkish State Meteorological Service and global ensembles will provide the key resolution signals before market close.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes