Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Istanbul will experience clear to mostly sunny conditions on August 31 with northeasterly winds and minimal cloud cover, supporting overnight radiative cooling to lows near 19–21°C. This aligns with late-summer climatology for the region, where diurnal ranges often reach 8–10°C under high pressure. Trader consensus around 17°C or below (46%) versus 22°C (37%) likely reflects uncertainty in exact minimum timing and potential model spread in boundary-layer mixing or local urban heat effects. The next 48-hour forecast updates from NOAA and ECMWF will provide clearer resolution criteria for the daily minimum.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más baja en Estambul el 31 de agosto?
27°C or higher 67%
17°C or below 58%
19°C 50%
18°C 49%
17°C or below
58%
18°C
49%
19°C
50%
20°C
26%
21°C
36%
22°C
31%
23°C
27%
24°C
2%
25°C
8%
26°C
7%
27°C or higher
67%
27°C or higher 67%
17°C or below 58%
19°C 50%
18°C 49%
17°C or below
58%
18°C
49%
19°C
50%
20°C
26%
21°C
36%
22°C
31%
23°C
27%
24°C
2%
25°C
8%
26°C
7%
27°C or higher
67%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 29, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Istanbul will experience clear to mostly sunny conditions on August 31 with northeasterly winds and minimal cloud cover, supporting overnight radiative cooling to lows near 19–21°C. This aligns with late-summer climatology for the region, where diurnal ranges often reach 8–10°C under high pressure. Trader consensus around 17°C or below (46%) versus 22°C (37%) likely reflects uncertainty in exact minimum timing and potential model spread in boundary-layer mixing or local urban heat effects. The next 48-hour forecast updates from NOAA and ECMWF will provide clearer resolution criteria for the daily minimum.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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