Recent numerical weather prediction models from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and Met Office consensus point to an overnight minimum near 19–21°C for Istanbul on August 29, driven by moderate northerly winds and intermittent cloud cover that limit radiative cooling. This aligns with late-summer climatology, where typical lows hover around 20°C, though scattered showers on the 28th may enhance boundary-layer moisture and slightly suppress the diurnal range. Trader-implied odds clustering around 18–22°C reflect this guidance, while the elevated probability on 25°C or higher captures residual uncertainty in model timing and potential for clearer skies. Updated high-resolution runs and real-time observations from Istanbul stations will refine the minimum before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más baja en Estambul el 29 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más baja en Estambul el 29 de agosto?
25°C or higher 85%
15°C or below 84%
16°C 50%
17°C 50%
NUEVO
NUEVO
29 ago 2026
15°C or below
84%
16°C
50%
17°C
50%
18°C
27%
19°C
27%
20°C
27%
21°C
27%
22°C
27%
23°C
50%
24°C
2%
25°C or higher
85%
25°C or higher 85%
15°C or below 84%
16°C 50%
17°C 50%
NUEVO
NUEVO
29 ago 2026
15°C or below
$135 Vol.
84%
16°C
$5 Vol.
50%
17°C
$5 Vol.
50%
18°C
$0 Vol.
27%
19°C
$0 Vol.
27%
20°C
$0 Vol.
27%
21°C
$0 Vol.
27%
22°C
$0 Vol.
27%
23°C
$10 Vol.
50%
24°C
$5 Vol.
2%
25°C or higher
$5 Vol.
85%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and Met Office consensus point to an overnight minimum near 19–21°C for Istanbul on August 29, driven by moderate northerly winds and intermittent cloud cover that limit radiative cooling. This aligns with late-summer climatology, where typical lows hover around 20°C, though scattered showers on the 28th may enhance boundary-layer moisture and slightly suppress the diurnal range. Trader-implied odds clustering around 18–22°C reflect this guidance, while the elevated probability on 25°C or higher captures residual uncertainty in model timing and potential for clearer skies. Updated high-resolution runs and real-time observations from Istanbul stations will refine the minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 27, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volumen
$165Fecha de finalización
29 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 27, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and Met Office consensus point to an overnight minimum near 19–21°C for Istanbul on August 29, driven by moderate northerly winds and intermittent cloud cover that limit radiative cooling. This aligns with late-summer climatology, where typical lows hover around 20°C, though scattered showers on the 28th may enhance boundary-layer moisture and slightly suppress the diurnal range. Trader-implied odds clustering around 18–22°C reflect this guidance, while the elevated probability on 25°C or higher captures residual uncertainty in model timing and potential for clearer skies. Updated high-resolution runs and real-time observations from Istanbul stations will refine the minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$165Fecha de finalización
29 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 27, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction models from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and Met Office consensus point to an overnight minimum near 19–21°C for Istanbul on August 29, driven by moderate northerly winds and intermittent cloud cover that limit radiative cooling. This aligns with late-summer climatology, where typical lows hover around 20°C, though scattered showers on the 28th may enhance boundary-layer moisture and slightly suppress the diurnal range. Trader-implied odds clustering around 18–22°C reflect this guidance, while the elevated probability on 25°C or higher captures residual uncertainty in model timing and potential for clearer skies. Updated high-resolution runs and real-time observations from Istanbul stations will refine the minimum before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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