Uncertainty in the precise timing and strength of an incoming cold front drives the closely matched odds for Sao Paulo's lowest temperature on August 29, with traders balancing risks of a stronger polar air mass intrusion against moderating influences. Ensemble forecasts highlight variability in minimum temperatures tied to cloud cover affecting radiative cooling, wind speeds that enhance or suppress boundary-layer mixing, and local urban heat effects in the metropolitan area. Historical climatology for late August shows typical lows near 14–18°C, but recent model runs indicate potential for brief dips below 13°C if clear skies prevail overnight or higher values near 20°C with delayed frontal passage and increased mixing. Official updates from Brazilian meteorological agencies will refine these projections ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Sao Paulo el 29 de agosto?
13°C o menos 94%
18°C 49%
16°C 48%
17°C 48%
13°C o menos
94%
14°C
47%
15°C
47%
16°C
48%
17°C
48%
18°C
49%
19°C
30%
20°C
34%
21°C
26%
22°C
48%
23°C o más
2%
13°C o menos 94%
18°C 49%
16°C 48%
17°C 48%
13°C o menos
94%
14°C
47%
15°C
47%
16°C
48%
17°C
48%
18°C
49%
19°C
30%
20°C
34%
21°C
26%
22°C
48%
23°C o más
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 27, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...Uncertainty in the precise timing and strength of an incoming cold front drives the closely matched odds for Sao Paulo's lowest temperature on August 29, with traders balancing risks of a stronger polar air mass intrusion against moderating influences. Ensemble forecasts highlight variability in minimum temperatures tied to cloud cover affecting radiative cooling, wind speeds that enhance or suppress boundary-layer mixing, and local urban heat effects in the metropolitan area. Historical climatology for late August shows typical lows near 14–18°C, but recent model runs indicate potential for brief dips below 13°C if clear skies prevail overnight or higher values near 20°C with delayed frontal passage and increased mixing. Official updates from Brazilian meteorological agencies will refine these projections ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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