A warm, dry air mass over southeastern Brazil is driving the current heat wave, with official forecasts from Climatempo, CGE, and INMET indicating clear to partly cloudy skies, strong solar heating, and light northwesterly winds favoring a peak temperature near 33–34°C in São Paulo on August 29. Model runs show slight spread—some projecting 32–34°C under subsidence and low humidity around 20–30%, while others cap nearer 31°C amid minor cloud increases—creating the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those thresholds. This exceeds August climatology by 8–10°C, though resolution depends on exact afternoon maximum readings from official stations; updated model guidance and afternoon observations tomorrow will likely refine trader consensus ahead of settlement.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Sao Paulo el 29 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Sao Paulo el 29 de agosto?
34°C 45%
33°C 28%
32°C 15%
35°C 14%
NUEVO
NUEVO
29 ago 2026
28°C or below
3%
29°C
3%
30°C
3%
31°C
11%
32°C
15%
33°C
28%
34°C
45%
35°C
14%
36°C
4%
37°C
3%
38°C or higher
2%
34°C 45%
33°C 28%
32°C 15%
35°C 14%
NUEVO
NUEVO
29 ago 2026
28°C or below
$0 Vol.
3%
29°C
$0 Vol.
3%
30°C
$0 Vol.
3%
31°C
$0 Vol.
11%
32°C
$31 Vol.
15%
33°C
$56 Vol.
28%
34°C
$0 Vol.
45%
35°C
$251 Vol.
14%
36°C
$0 Vol.
4%
37°C
$0 Vol.
3%
38°C or higher
$0 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.A warm, dry air mass over southeastern Brazil is driving the current heat wave, with official forecasts from Climatempo, CGE, and INMET indicating clear to partly cloudy skies, strong solar heating, and light northwesterly winds favoring a peak temperature near 33–34°C in São Paulo on August 29. Model runs show slight spread—some projecting 32–34°C under subsidence and low humidity around 20–30%, while others cap nearer 31°C amid minor cloud increases—creating the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those thresholds. This exceeds August climatology by 8–10°C, though resolution depends on exact afternoon maximum readings from official stations; updated model guidance and afternoon observations tomorrow will likely refine trader consensus ahead of settlement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 27, 2026, 8:55 PM ET
Volumen
$337Fecha de finalización
29 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 27, 2026, 8:55 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.A warm, dry air mass over southeastern Brazil is driving the current heat wave, with official forecasts from Climatempo, CGE, and INMET indicating clear to partly cloudy skies, strong solar heating, and light northwesterly winds favoring a peak temperature near 33–34°C in São Paulo on August 29. Model runs show slight spread—some projecting 32–34°C under subsidence and low humidity around 20–30%, while others cap nearer 31°C amid minor cloud increases—creating the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those thresholds. This exceeds August climatology by 8–10°C, though resolution depends on exact afternoon maximum readings from official stations; updated model guidance and afternoon observations tomorrow will likely refine trader consensus ahead of settlement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$337Fecha de finalización
29 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 27, 2026, 8:55 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...A warm, dry air mass over southeastern Brazil is driving the current heat wave, with official forecasts from Climatempo, CGE, and INMET indicating clear to partly cloudy skies, strong solar heating, and light northwesterly winds favoring a peak temperature near 33–34°C in São Paulo on August 29. Model runs show slight spread—some projecting 32–34°C under subsidence and low humidity around 20–30%, while others cap nearer 31°C amid minor cloud increases—creating the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those thresholds. This exceeds August climatology by 8–10°C, though resolution depends on exact afternoon maximum readings from official stations; updated model guidance and afternoon observations tomorrow will likely refine trader consensus ahead of settlement.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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