Current forecast models from sources including the Met Office and European centers converge on a maximum of 27–28 °C for São Paulo on 27 August under mostly clear skies, light northerly flow, and dry conditions that favor strong daytime radiative heating. Recent cooler, hazier days have given way to this warming setup typical of late Southern Hemisphere winter, with afternoon peaks expected around 14:00–16:00 local time. The market’s 49.5 % implied probability on 28 °C and 25.5 % on 29 °C reflect trader weighting of model consensus and historical late-August variability, while lower outcomes remain possible only if cloud cover or stronger winds develop. Updated model runs tonight will provide the final guidance before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Sao Paulo el 27 de agosto?
28°C 50%
29°C 26%
27°C 15%
25°C 10%
21°C or below
1%
22°C
2%
23°C
3%
24°C
2%
25°C
10%
26°C
10%
27°C
15%
28°C
50%
29°C
26%
30°C
7%
31°C or higher
6%
28°C 50%
29°C 26%
27°C 15%
25°C 10%
21°C or below
1%
22°C
2%
23°C
3%
24°C
2%
25°C
10%
26°C
10%
27°C
15%
28°C
50%
29°C
26%
30°C
7%
31°C or higher
6%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 25, 2026, 8:55 PM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from sources including the Met Office and European centers converge on a maximum of 27–28 °C for São Paulo on 27 August under mostly clear skies, light northerly flow, and dry conditions that favor strong daytime radiative heating. Recent cooler, hazier days have given way to this warming setup typical of late Southern Hemisphere winter, with afternoon peaks expected around 14:00–16:00 local time. The market’s 49.5 % implied probability on 28 °C and 25.5 % on 29 °C reflect trader weighting of model consensus and historical late-August variability, while lower outcomes remain possible only if cloud cover or stronger winds develop. Updated model runs tonight will provide the final guidance before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado


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