Recent model consensus from sources including the Met Office and BBC Weather points to a daytime maximum of 26–27°C in Munich on August 26, 2026, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on those two outcomes. Warm air advection under building high pressure, combined with light southerly flow and limited cloud cover, is expected to support modest daytime heating above the late-August climatological average near 23°C. Ensemble spreads remain narrow, with only low-probability tails extending to 28°C or higher, while recent cooling after the 32°C peak on August 16 and the 21°C reading on August 22 underscores the day-to-day variability typical of late-summer Central European patterns. Updated DWD guidance and next model cycles will be the key near-term drivers of any further probability shifts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Múnich el 26 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Múnich el 26 de agosto?
27°C 61%
26°C 24%
28°C 12%
25°C 5%
NUEVO
$17,080 Vol.
NUEVO
$17,080 Vol.
26 ago 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
2%
25°C
5%
26°C
24%
27°C
61%
28°C
12%
29°C
3%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
27°C 61%
26°C 24%
28°C 12%
25°C 5%
NUEVO
$17,080 Vol.
NUEVO
$17,080 Vol.
26 ago 2026
21°C or below
$1,399 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$298 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$356 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$653 Vol.
2%
25°C
$2,609 Vol.
5%
26°C
$2,380 Vol.
24%
27°C
$4,434 Vol.
61%
28°C
$2,494 Vol.
12%
29°C
$1,030 Vol.
3%
30°C
$692 Vol.
<1%
31°C or higher
$742 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources including the Met Office and BBC Weather points to a daytime maximum of 26–27°C in Munich on August 26, 2026, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on those two outcomes. Warm air advection under building high pressure, combined with light southerly flow and limited cloud cover, is expected to support modest daytime heating above the late-August climatological average near 23°C. Ensemble spreads remain narrow, with only low-probability tails extending to 28°C or higher, while recent cooling after the 32°C peak on August 16 and the 21°C reading on August 22 underscores the day-to-day variability typical of late-summer Central European patterns. Updated DWD guidance and next model cycles will be the key near-term drivers of any further probability shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volumen
$17,080Fecha de finalización
26 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources including the Met Office and BBC Weather points to a daytime maximum of 26–27°C in Munich on August 26, 2026, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on those two outcomes. Warm air advection under building high pressure, combined with light southerly flow and limited cloud cover, is expected to support modest daytime heating above the late-August climatological average near 23°C. Ensemble spreads remain narrow, with only low-probability tails extending to 28°C or higher, while recent cooling after the 32°C peak on August 16 and the 21°C reading on August 22 underscores the day-to-day variability typical of late-summer Central European patterns. Updated DWD guidance and next model cycles will be the key near-term drivers of any further probability shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$17,080Fecha de finalización
26 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from sources including the Met Office and BBC Weather points to a daytime maximum of 26–27°C in Munich on August 26, 2026, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on those two outcomes. Warm air advection under building high pressure, combined with light southerly flow and limited cloud cover, is expected to support modest daytime heating above the late-August climatological average near 23°C. Ensemble spreads remain narrow, with only low-probability tails extending to 28°C or higher, while recent cooling after the 32°C peak on August 16 and the 21°C reading on August 22 underscores the day-to-day variability typical of late-summer Central European patterns. Updated DWD guidance and next model cycles will be the key near-term drivers of any further probability shifts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes