Trader sentiment for Munich's August 26 minimum temperature reflects uncertainty in short-range European model guidance, particularly ECMWF and ICON runs, with probabilities clustered across 8–13°C outcomes. Current forecasts indicate overnight lows near 13–15°C under partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds, limiting radiative cooling compared to clearer conditions that could push readings into the single digits. Recent cooler August nights, including a 7.5°C minimum earlier in the month, contribute to the elevated chance for lower values, while average historical minima sit at 13°C. Key variables include evolving cloud cover and boundary-layer moisture, with updated model cycles expected to sharpen resolution criteria ahead of the overnight period.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Múnich el 26 de agosto?
¿Temperatura más baja en Múnich el 26 de agosto?
8°C or below 62%
12°C 31%
13°C 31%
11°C 25%
NUEVO
NUEVO
26 ago 2026
8°C or below
62%
9°C
5%
10°C
10%
11°C
25%
12°C
31%
13°C
31%
14°C
22%
15°C
9%
16°C
8%
17°C
15%
18°C or higher
1%
8°C or below 62%
12°C 31%
13°C 31%
11°C 25%
NUEVO
NUEVO
26 ago 2026
8°C or below
$5 Vol.
62%
9°C
$0 Vol.
5%
10°C
$6 Vol.
10%
11°C
$0 Vol.
25%
12°C
$0 Vol.
31%
13°C
$0 Vol.
31%
14°C
$0 Vol.
22%
15°C
$0 Vol.
9%
16°C
$5 Vol.
8%
17°C
$15 Vol.
15%
18°C or higher
$0 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment for Munich's August 26 minimum temperature reflects uncertainty in short-range European model guidance, particularly ECMWF and ICON runs, with probabilities clustered across 8–13°C outcomes. Current forecasts indicate overnight lows near 13–15°C under partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds, limiting radiative cooling compared to clearer conditions that could push readings into the single digits. Recent cooler August nights, including a 7.5°C minimum earlier in the month, contribute to the elevated chance for lower values, while average historical minima sit at 13°C. Key variables include evolving cloud cover and boundary-layer moisture, with updated model cycles expected to sharpen resolution criteria ahead of the overnight period.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 24, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volumen
$31Fecha de finalización
26 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 24, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment for Munich's August 26 minimum temperature reflects uncertainty in short-range European model guidance, particularly ECMWF and ICON runs, with probabilities clustered across 8–13°C outcomes. Current forecasts indicate overnight lows near 13–15°C under partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds, limiting radiative cooling compared to clearer conditions that could push readings into the single digits. Recent cooler August nights, including a 7.5°C minimum earlier in the month, contribute to the elevated chance for lower values, while average historical minima sit at 13°C. Key variables include evolving cloud cover and boundary-layer moisture, with updated model cycles expected to sharpen resolution criteria ahead of the overnight period.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$31Fecha de finalización
26 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 24, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for Munich's August 26 minimum temperature reflects uncertainty in short-range European model guidance, particularly ECMWF and ICON runs, with probabilities clustered across 8–13°C outcomes. Current forecasts indicate overnight lows near 13–15°C under partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds, limiting radiative cooling compared to clearer conditions that could push readings into the single digits. Recent cooler August nights, including a 7.5°C minimum earlier in the month, contribute to the elevated chance for lower values, while average historical minima sit at 13°C. Key variables include evolving cloud cover and boundary-layer moisture, with updated model cycles expected to sharpen resolution criteria ahead of the overnight period.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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