Ensemble forecasts place the highest probability on a 30–31°C peak for Qingdao on August 27 because models show moderate southerly flow, partial cloud cover, and typical late-August sea surface temperatures near 26°C limiting daytime heating. The narrow spread between 30°C and 32°C outcomes reflects uncertainty in sea-breeze timing and intensity; stronger onshore winds and earlier breeze development enhance marine cooling and favor the lower end, while delayed or weaker circulation allows slightly higher maxima. Historical August averages near 28–29°C, combined with the peninsula’s maritime climate, keep 33°C+ unlikely without anomalous subsidence. Frequent short-range model updates through the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Qingdao el 27 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Qingdao el 27 de agosto?
31°C 35%
30°C 30%
32°C 22%
29°C 13%
NUEVO
NUEVO
27 ago 2026
25°C o menos
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
4%
29°C
13%
30°C
30%
31°C
35%
32°C
22%
33°C
6%
34°C
<1%
35°C o más
2%
31°C 35%
30°C 30%
32°C 22%
29°C 13%
NUEVO
NUEVO
27 ago 2026
25°C o menos
$180 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$60 Vol.
1%
27°C
$0 Vol.
1%
28°C
$55 Vol.
4%
29°C
$5 Vol.
13%
30°C
$26 Vol.
30%
31°C
$46 Vol.
35%
32°C
$22 Vol.
22%
33°C
$2 Vol.
6%
34°C
$29 Vol.
<1%
35°C o más
$537 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ensemble forecasts place the highest probability on a 30–31°C peak for Qingdao on August 27 because models show moderate southerly flow, partial cloud cover, and typical late-August sea surface temperatures near 26°C limiting daytime heating. The narrow spread between 30°C and 32°C outcomes reflects uncertainty in sea-breeze timing and intensity; stronger onshore winds and earlier breeze development enhance marine cooling and favor the lower end, while delayed or weaker circulation allows slightly higher maxima. Historical August averages near 28–29°C, combined with the peninsula’s maritime climate, keep 33°C+ unlikely without anomalous subsidence. Frequent short-range model updates through the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 25, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volumen
$962Fecha de finalización
27 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 25, 2026, 12:58 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ensemble forecasts place the highest probability on a 30–31°C peak for Qingdao on August 27 because models show moderate southerly flow, partial cloud cover, and typical late-August sea surface temperatures near 26°C limiting daytime heating. The narrow spread between 30°C and 32°C outcomes reflects uncertainty in sea-breeze timing and intensity; stronger onshore winds and earlier breeze development enhance marine cooling and favor the lower end, while delayed or weaker circulation allows slightly higher maxima. Historical August averages near 28–29°C, combined with the peninsula’s maritime climate, keep 33°C+ unlikely without anomalous subsidence. Frequent short-range model updates through the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$962Fecha de finalización
27 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 25, 2026, 12:58 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ensemble forecasts place the highest probability on a 30–31°C peak for Qingdao on August 27 because models show moderate southerly flow, partial cloud cover, and typical late-August sea surface temperatures near 26°C limiting daytime heating. The narrow spread between 30°C and 32°C outcomes reflects uncertainty in sea-breeze timing and intensity; stronger onshore winds and earlier breeze development enhance marine cooling and favor the lower end, while delayed or weaker circulation allows slightly higher maxima. Historical August averages near 28–29°C, combined with the peninsula’s maritime climate, keep 33°C+ unlikely without anomalous subsidence. Frequent short-range model updates through the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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