Recent forecast guidance for Qingdao highlights marine moderation from the Yellow Sea combined with increased cloud cover and lighter winds, which are suppressing overnight radiative cooling and supporting minimum temperatures near or below seasonal averages of 23–24°C. Numerical weather models show modest consensus around these values for August 26, with uncertainty tied to exact timing of any frontal passages or sea-breeze shifts that could push readings lower. This scientific context underpins the leading market-implied probability for 22°C or below while leaving room for slight upward revisions if clearer skies develop.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Qingdao el 26 de agosto?
22°C o menos 86%
28°C 48%
29°C 48%
25°C 27%
22°C o menos
86%
23°C
21%
24°C
26%
25°C
27%
26°C
27%
27°C
21%
28°C
48%
29°C
48%
30°C
10%
31°C
2%
32°C o más
1%
22°C o menos 86%
28°C 48%
29°C 48%
25°C 27%
22°C o menos
86%
23°C
21%
24°C
26%
25°C
27%
26°C
27%
27°C
21%
28°C
48%
29°C
48%
30°C
10%
31°C
2%
32°C o más
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 24, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast guidance for Qingdao highlights marine moderation from the Yellow Sea combined with increased cloud cover and lighter winds, which are suppressing overnight radiative cooling and supporting minimum temperatures near or below seasonal averages of 23–24°C. Numerical weather models show modest consensus around these values for August 26, with uncertainty tied to exact timing of any frontal passages or sea-breeze shifts that could push readings lower. This scientific context underpins the leading market-implied probability for 22°C or below while leaving room for slight upward revisions if clearer skies develop.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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