Latest ensemble forecasts from global numerical weather prediction models, including those aligned with Turkish State Meteorological Service guidance, position 31–33°C as the most probable range for Ankara’s daily maximum on August 25, reflecting modest cooling from recent 35°C peaks under persistent subtropical high pressure and light northeasterly flow across the elevated Anatolian plateau. Clear to mostly sunny skies with low humidity and minimal precipitation risk support this clustering, consistent with late-August climatology. Trader-implied odds, led by 31°C at 51.5%, mirror the tight model consensus while acknowledging typical forecast uncertainty of 1–2°C. Official observations from the Turkish meteorological network will resolve the market within hours of the daily high.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Ankara el 25 de agosto?
31°C 52%
32°C 22%
30°C 21%
29°C 5%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
5%
30°C
21%
31°C
52%
32°C
22%
33°C
5%
34°C
1%
35°C
1%
36°C or higher
<1%
31°C 52%
32°C 22%
30°C 21%
29°C 5%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
5%
30°C
21%
31°C
52%
32°C
22%
33°C
5%
34°C
1%
35°C
1%
36°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from global numerical weather prediction models, including those aligned with Turkish State Meteorological Service guidance, position 31–33°C as the most probable range for Ankara’s daily maximum on August 25, reflecting modest cooling from recent 35°C peaks under persistent subtropical high pressure and light northeasterly flow across the elevated Anatolian plateau. Clear to mostly sunny skies with low humidity and minimal precipitation risk support this clustering, consistent with late-August climatology. Trader-implied odds, led by 31°C at 51.5%, mirror the tight model consensus while acknowledging typical forecast uncertainty of 1–2°C. Official observations from the Turkish meteorological network will resolve the market within hours of the daily high.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes