Recent forecasts from major models indicate Ankara's August 25 minimum will likely settle near 18–19°C under clear skies and light northeasterly flow, promoting efficient nocturnal radiative cooling from the elevated Anatolian plateau. Ensemble spread in boundary-layer moisture and wind speeds creates the tight split between sub-15°C outcomes (favored if stronger cooling develops) and 25°C-plus readings (possible with greater mixing or delayed cooling), while mid-range bins reflect the narrow uncertainty band around observed climatology. Official agencies note the current high-pressure ridge and low humidity as the dominant drivers, with any shift in steering flow or cloud cover the key variables that could tip resolution thresholds before the 48-hour window closes.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Ankara el 25 de agosto?
25°C o más 92%
15°C o menos 47%
20°C 44%
21°C 44%
15°C o menos
47%
16°C
27%
17°C
27%
18°C
23%
19°C
16%
20°C
44%
21°C
44%
22°C
44%
23°C
1%
24°C
3%
25°C o más
92%
25°C o más 92%
15°C o menos 47%
20°C 44%
21°C 44%
15°C o menos
47%
16°C
27%
17°C
27%
18°C
23%
19°C
16%
20°C
44%
21°C
44%
22°C
44%
23°C
1%
24°C
3%
25°C o más
92%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 23, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from major models indicate Ankara's August 25 minimum will likely settle near 18–19°C under clear skies and light northeasterly flow, promoting efficient nocturnal radiative cooling from the elevated Anatolian plateau. Ensemble spread in boundary-layer moisture and wind speeds creates the tight split between sub-15°C outcomes (favored if stronger cooling develops) and 25°C-plus readings (possible with greater mixing or delayed cooling), while mid-range bins reflect the narrow uncertainty band around observed climatology. Official agencies note the current high-pressure ridge and low humidity as the dominant drivers, with any shift in steering flow or cloud cover the key variables that could tip resolution thresholds before the 48-hour window closes.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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