Recent model consensus from sources including the China Meteorological Administration points to a highest temperature in Wuhan on August 31 in the 31–32°C range, with 30–33°C outcomes capturing nearly 80% of market-implied probability. Persistent northeasterly flow and peripheral moisture from Typhoon Shadell are expected to increase cloud cover and scattered rainfall, limiting daytime heating compared with the clearer, hotter conditions earlier in the week. Ensemble forecasts show modest spread around these values due to uncertainty in precipitation timing and intensity, while historical late-August baselines for the region average near 32°C. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine resolution criteria around peak observed readings.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Wuhan el 31 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Wuhan el 31 de agosto?
32°C 36%
31°C 28%
33°C 20%
29°C 12%
NUEVO
NUEVO
31 ago 2026
27°C or below
1%
28°C
4%
29°C
12%
30°C
11%
31°C
28%
32°C
36%
33°C
20%
34°C
5%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
32°C 36%
31°C 28%
33°C 20%
29°C 12%
NUEVO
NUEVO
31 ago 2026
27°C or below
$0 Vol.
1%
28°C
$0 Vol.
4%
29°C
$0 Vol.
12%
30°C
$20 Vol.
11%
31°C
$2 Vol.
28%
32°C
$78 Vol.
36%
33°C
$142 Vol.
20%
34°C
$13 Vol.
5%
35°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$121 Vol.
<1%
37°C or higher
$261 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources including the China Meteorological Administration points to a highest temperature in Wuhan on August 31 in the 31–32°C range, with 30–33°C outcomes capturing nearly 80% of market-implied probability. Persistent northeasterly flow and peripheral moisture from Typhoon Shadell are expected to increase cloud cover and scattered rainfall, limiting daytime heating compared with the clearer, hotter conditions earlier in the week. Ensemble forecasts show modest spread around these values due to uncertainty in precipitation timing and intensity, while historical late-August baselines for the region average near 32°C. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine resolution criteria around peak observed readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 29, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volumen
$632Fecha de finalización
31 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 29, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources including the China Meteorological Administration points to a highest temperature in Wuhan on August 31 in the 31–32°C range, with 30–33°C outcomes capturing nearly 80% of market-implied probability. Persistent northeasterly flow and peripheral moisture from Typhoon Shadell are expected to increase cloud cover and scattered rainfall, limiting daytime heating compared with the clearer, hotter conditions earlier in the week. Ensemble forecasts show modest spread around these values due to uncertainty in precipitation timing and intensity, while historical late-August baselines for the region average near 32°C. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine resolution criteria around peak observed readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$632Fecha de finalización
31 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 29, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from sources including the China Meteorological Administration points to a highest temperature in Wuhan on August 31 in the 31–32°C range, with 30–33°C outcomes capturing nearly 80% of market-implied probability. Persistent northeasterly flow and peripheral moisture from Typhoon Shadell are expected to increase cloud cover and scattered rainfall, limiting daytime heating compared with the clearer, hotter conditions earlier in the week. Ensemble forecasts show modest spread around these values due to uncertainty in precipitation timing and intensity, while historical late-August baselines for the region average near 32°C. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine resolution criteria around peak observed readings.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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