Recent forecasts from the Pakistan Meteorological Department and international models converge on a maximum temperature near 30–31°C for Karachi on August 30, reflecting the primary driver behind the market’s 47% implied probability for 31°C and 26% for 30°C. Persistent southwesterly monsoon flow, combined with high humidity (65–85%) and partly cloudy skies, is limiting daytime heating while preventing significant cooling, consistent with late-August climatology where daily highs average 29–32°C. Minor model differences in cloud cover and wind strength account for the secondary 16% odds on 32°C. Updated guidance issued in the past 48 hours shows no major shifts from ongoing hot, humid conditions, keeping probabilities anchored to this narrow range ahead of final observations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Karachi el 30 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Karachi el 30 de agosto?
31°C 47%
30°C 26%
32°C 16%
29°C 5%
NUEVO
NUEVO
30 ago 2026
26°C o menos
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
4%
29°C
5%
30°C
26%
31°C
47%
32°C
16%
33°C
5%
34°C
2%
35°C
<1%
36°C o más
<1%
31°C 47%
30°C 26%
32°C 16%
29°C 5%
NUEVO
NUEVO
30 ago 2026
26°C o menos
$75 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$80 Vol.
1%
28°C
$20 Vol.
4%
29°C
$271 Vol.
5%
30°C
$183 Vol.
26%
31°C
$469 Vol.
47%
32°C
$531 Vol.
16%
33°C
$5 Vol.
5%
34°C
$77 Vol.
2%
35°C
$150 Vol.
<1%
36°C o más
$570 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Pakistan Meteorological Department and international models converge on a maximum temperature near 30–31°C for Karachi on August 30, reflecting the primary driver behind the market’s 47% implied probability for 31°C and 26% for 30°C. Persistent southwesterly monsoon flow, combined with high humidity (65–85%) and partly cloudy skies, is limiting daytime heating while preventing significant cooling, consistent with late-August climatology where daily highs average 29–32°C. Minor model differences in cloud cover and wind strength account for the secondary 16% odds on 32°C. Updated guidance issued in the past 48 hours shows no major shifts from ongoing hot, humid conditions, keeping probabilities anchored to this narrow range ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volumen
$2,431Fecha de finalización
30 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Pakistan Meteorological Department and international models converge on a maximum temperature near 30–31°C for Karachi on August 30, reflecting the primary driver behind the market’s 47% implied probability for 31°C and 26% for 30°C. Persistent southwesterly monsoon flow, combined with high humidity (65–85%) and partly cloudy skies, is limiting daytime heating while preventing significant cooling, consistent with late-August climatology where daily highs average 29–32°C. Minor model differences in cloud cover and wind strength account for the secondary 16% odds on 32°C. Updated guidance issued in the past 48 hours shows no major shifts from ongoing hot, humid conditions, keeping probabilities anchored to this narrow range ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$2,431Fecha de finalización
30 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Pakistan Meteorological Department and international models converge on a maximum temperature near 30–31°C for Karachi on August 30, reflecting the primary driver behind the market’s 47% implied probability for 31°C and 26% for 30°C. Persistent southwesterly monsoon flow, combined with high humidity (65–85%) and partly cloudy skies, is limiting daytime heating while preventing significant cooling, consistent with late-August climatology where daily highs average 29–32°C. Minor model differences in cloud cover and wind strength account for the secondary 16% odds on 32°C. Updated guidance issued in the past 48 hours shows no major shifts from ongoing hot, humid conditions, keeping probabilities anchored to this narrow range ahead of final observations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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