Recent forecasts from models including GFS and agency outputs indicate a peak around 30–32°C in Milan on August 28, yet trader consensus clusters tightly on 28–29°C due to uncertainty from scattered thunderstorms and cloud cover that can suppress afternoon maxima. Convective development, driven by moderate instability, dew points near 21–23°C, and light easterly winds, introduces variability in realized highs versus guidance. Historical August baselines near 29–31°C provide context, but short-term model spreads on timing of rain and humidity levels differentiate the narrow 28–29°C outcomes most relevant to resolution. Updated afternoon observations and any revised NWP runs remain key near-term catalysts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Milán el 28 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Milán el 28 de agosto?
29°C 42%
28°C 38%
27°C 13%
30°C 9%
$22,126 Vol.
$22,126 Vol.
28 ago 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
3%
27°C
13%
28°C
38%
29°C
42%
30°C
9%
31°C
3%
32°C or higher
1%
29°C 42%
28°C 38%
27°C 13%
30°C 9%
$22,126 Vol.
$22,126 Vol.
28 ago 2026
22°C or below
$1,198 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$1,397 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$1,180 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$474 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$943 Vol.
3%
27°C
$2,556 Vol.
13%
28°C
$3,409 Vol.
38%
29°C
$3,869 Vol.
42%
30°C
$3,343 Vol.
9%
31°C
$2,590 Vol.
3%
32°C or higher
$1,169 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models including GFS and agency outputs indicate a peak around 30–32°C in Milan on August 28, yet trader consensus clusters tightly on 28–29°C due to uncertainty from scattered thunderstorms and cloud cover that can suppress afternoon maxima. Convective development, driven by moderate instability, dew points near 21–23°C, and light easterly winds, introduces variability in realized highs versus guidance. Historical August baselines near 29–31°C provide context, but short-term model spreads on timing of rain and humidity levels differentiate the narrow 28–29°C outcomes most relevant to resolution. Updated afternoon observations and any revised NWP runs remain key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 26, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volumen
$22,126Fecha de finalización
28 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 26, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models including GFS and agency outputs indicate a peak around 30–32°C in Milan on August 28, yet trader consensus clusters tightly on 28–29°C due to uncertainty from scattered thunderstorms and cloud cover that can suppress afternoon maxima. Convective development, driven by moderate instability, dew points near 21–23°C, and light easterly winds, introduces variability in realized highs versus guidance. Historical August baselines near 29–31°C provide context, but short-term model spreads on timing of rain and humidity levels differentiate the narrow 28–29°C outcomes most relevant to resolution. Updated afternoon observations and any revised NWP runs remain key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$22,126Fecha de finalización
28 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 26, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from models including GFS and agency outputs indicate a peak around 30–32°C in Milan on August 28, yet trader consensus clusters tightly on 28–29°C due to uncertainty from scattered thunderstorms and cloud cover that can suppress afternoon maxima. Convective development, driven by moderate instability, dew points near 21–23°C, and light easterly winds, introduces variability in realized highs versus guidance. Historical August baselines near 29–31°C provide context, but short-term model spreads on timing of rain and humidity levels differentiate the narrow 28–29°C outcomes most relevant to resolution. Updated afternoon observations and any revised NWP runs remain key near-term catalysts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes