Recent forecast model consensus from sources like ECMWF and GFS has established a narrow range for Milan's August 30 maximum, centering on 29–30°C under mostly clear skies and light easterly winds. A stable high-pressure ridge over northern Italy supports strong daytime solar heating in the Po Valley while suppressing cloud cover and precipitation, yet modest humidity and Alpine drainage flows cap extreme warming. Minor model spread in boundary-layer mixing and exact wind speeds creates the tight 29°C versus 30°C split in trader-implied odds, with 31°C remaining possible only if insolation exceeds expectations. Updated runs and observational data from regional stations will refine the outcome before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Milán el 30 de agosto?
30°C 44%
29°C 37%
31°C 17%
28°C 14%
23°C or below
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
4%
27°C
2%
28°C
14%
29°C
37%
30°C
44%
31°C
17%
32°C
7%
33°C or higher
13%
30°C 44%
29°C 37%
31°C 17%
28°C 14%
23°C or below
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
4%
27°C
2%
28°C
14%
29°C
37%
30°C
44%
31°C
17%
32°C
7%
33°C or higher
13%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model consensus from sources like ECMWF and GFS has established a narrow range for Milan's August 30 maximum, centering on 29–30°C under mostly clear skies and light easterly winds. A stable high-pressure ridge over northern Italy supports strong daytime solar heating in the Po Valley while suppressing cloud cover and precipitation, yet modest humidity and Alpine drainage flows cap extreme warming. Minor model spread in boundary-layer mixing and exact wind speeds creates the tight 29°C versus 30°C split in trader-implied odds, with 31°C remaining possible only if insolation exceeds expectations. Updated runs and observational data from regional stations will refine the outcome before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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