Current forecasts from ensemble models such as ECMWF and GFS indicate a modest daily maximum of 23–24°C in Paris on August 31, aligning with the late-August climatological average of 23.8°C and driving the near-even market split between those outcomes. Persistent cloud cover and light southwesterly flow limit solar insolation and enhance boundary-layer mixing, while any scattered showers or drizzle add evaporative cooling that caps peaks. Minor model differences in cloud timing, wind gusts of 15–25 km/h, and precipitation probability around 15–40% create the narrow uncertainty between 23°C and 24°C, with higher values requiring clearer skies and stronger insolation than currently projected.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en París el 31 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en París el 31 de agosto?
24°C 44%
23°C 43%
25°C 9%
22°C 5%
NUEVO
NUEVO
31 ago 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
5%
23°C
43%
24°C
44%
25°C
9%
26°C
3%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
24°C 44%
23°C 43%
25°C 9%
22°C 5%
NUEVO
NUEVO
31 ago 2026
19°C or below
$75 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$109 Vol.
1%
21°C
$58 Vol.
2%
22°C
$420 Vol.
5%
23°C
$324 Vol.
43%
24°C
$472 Vol.
44%
25°C
$125 Vol.
9%
26°C
$64 Vol.
3%
27°C
$58 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$58 Vol.
<1%
29°C or higher
$58 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from ensemble models such as ECMWF and GFS indicate a modest daily maximum of 23–24°C in Paris on August 31, aligning with the late-August climatological average of 23.8°C and driving the near-even market split between those outcomes. Persistent cloud cover and light southwesterly flow limit solar insolation and enhance boundary-layer mixing, while any scattered showers or drizzle add evaporative cooling that caps peaks. Minor model differences in cloud timing, wind gusts of 15–25 km/h, and precipitation probability around 15–40% create the narrow uncertainty between 23°C and 24°C, with higher values requiring clearer skies and stronger insolation than currently projected.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 29, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Volumen
$1,822Fecha de finalización
31 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 29, 2026, 12:55 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from ensemble models such as ECMWF and GFS indicate a modest daily maximum of 23–24°C in Paris on August 31, aligning with the late-August climatological average of 23.8°C and driving the near-even market split between those outcomes. Persistent cloud cover and light southwesterly flow limit solar insolation and enhance boundary-layer mixing, while any scattered showers or drizzle add evaporative cooling that caps peaks. Minor model differences in cloud timing, wind gusts of 15–25 km/h, and precipitation probability around 15–40% create the narrow uncertainty between 23°C and 24°C, with higher values requiring clearer skies and stronger insolation than currently projected.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$1,822Fecha de finalización
31 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 29, 2026, 12:55 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from ensemble models such as ECMWF and GFS indicate a modest daily maximum of 23–24°C in Paris on August 31, aligning with the late-August climatological average of 23.8°C and driving the near-even market split between those outcomes. Persistent cloud cover and light southwesterly flow limit solar insolation and enhance boundary-layer mixing, while any scattered showers or drizzle add evaporative cooling that caps peaks. Minor model differences in cloud timing, wind gusts of 15–25 km/h, and precipitation probability around 15–40% create the narrow uncertainty between 23°C and 24°C, with higher values requiring clearer skies and stronger insolation than currently projected.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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