**Trader consensus on 28°C (99.8% implied probability) reflects confirmed official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory (HKO) showing the absolute daily minimum air temperature reached exactly 28°C on August 28, 2026.** Persistent warm, humid conditions under a broad low-pressure trough, combined with widespread cloud cover, showers, and light winds, limited overnight radiative cooling across urban and airport stations. Hourly data indicate temperatures held near 28–29.6°C through the night, consistent with climatological patterns for late-August tropical maritime air masses but slightly above the typical 26–27°C baseline minimum. This outcome aligns with multiple independent sources reporting a 27–31°C daily range, with the floor at 28°C. Only an unreconciled station-specific anomaly or post-publication data revision could realistically alter resolution, though current verified measurements make such shifts improbable.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Hong Kong el 28 de agosto?
28°C 99.8%
27°C <1%
25°C <1%
29°C <1%
$19,861 Vol.
$19,861 Vol.
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
100%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
28°C 99.8%
27°C <1%
25°C <1%
29°C <1%
$19,861 Vol.
$19,861 Vol.
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
100%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Aug 26, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus on 28°C (99.8% implied probability) reflects confirmed official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory (HKO) showing the absolute daily minimum air temperature reached exactly 28°C on August 28, 2026.** Persistent warm, humid conditions under a broad low-pressure trough, combined with widespread cloud cover, showers, and light winds, limited overnight radiative cooling across urban and airport stations. Hourly data indicate temperatures held near 28–29.6°C through the night, consistent with climatological patterns for late-August tropical maritime air masses but slightly above the typical 26–27°C baseline minimum. This outcome aligns with multiple independent sources reporting a 27–31°C daily range, with the floor at 28°C. Only an unreconciled station-specific anomaly or post-publication data revision could realistically alter resolution, though current verified measurements make such shifts improbable.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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