**Recent forecasts from agencies including the Japan Meteorological Agency and others indicate a minimum temperature in Tokyo on August 29 most likely between 21–23°C, aligning closely with the market-implied probabilities favoring 22°C (44.5%) and 21°C (30.5%).** Persistent cloud cover, occasional scattered showers, and a shift to northeasterly winds are expected to moderate overnight radiative cooling under humid conditions, preventing the minimum from dropping much below seasonal norms of ~22.6°C while also limiting any rebound above 23°C. Model consensus and historical analogs for late-August patterns under similar synoptic setups support this narrow range, with trader positioning reflecting the balance of uncertainty in precise hourly minimums amid variable precipitation timing. Upcoming official updates from monitoring bodies will likely refine these odds as the day approaches.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más baja en Tokio el 29 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más baja en Tokio el 29 de agosto?
22°C 45%
21°C 32%
23°C 18%
24°C 7%
NUEVO
NUEVO
29 ago 2026
19°C or below
3%
20°C
3%
21°C
32%
22°C
45%
23°C
18%
24°C
7%
25°C
4%
26°C
2%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
22°C 45%
21°C 32%
23°C 18%
24°C 7%
NUEVO
NUEVO
29 ago 2026
19°C or below
$132 Vol.
3%
20°C
$11 Vol.
3%
21°C
$178 Vol.
32%
22°C
$84 Vol.
45%
23°C
$417 Vol.
18%
24°C
$83 Vol.
7%
25°C
$138 Vol.
4%
26°C
$119 Vol.
2%
27°C
$121 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$5 Vol.
<1%
29°C or higher
$69 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecasts from agencies including the Japan Meteorological Agency and others indicate a minimum temperature in Tokyo on August 29 most likely between 21–23°C, aligning closely with the market-implied probabilities favoring 22°C (44.5%) and 21°C (30.5%).**
Persistent cloud cover, occasional scattered showers, and a shift to northeasterly winds are expected to moderate overnight radiative cooling under humid conditions, preventing the minimum from dropping much below seasonal norms of ~22.6°C while also limiting any rebound above 23°C. Model consensus and historical analogs for late-August patterns under similar synoptic setups support this narrow range, with trader positioning reflecting the balance of uncertainty in precise hourly minimums amid variable precipitation timing. Upcoming official updates from monitoring bodies will likely refine these odds as the day approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$1,355Fecha de finalización
29 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecasts from agencies including the Japan Meteorological Agency and others indicate a minimum temperature in Tokyo on August 29 most likely between 21–23°C, aligning closely with the market-implied probabilities favoring 22°C (44.5%) and 21°C (30.5%).**
Persistent cloud cover, occasional scattered showers, and a shift to northeasterly winds are expected to moderate overnight radiative cooling under humid conditions, preventing the minimum from dropping much below seasonal norms of ~22.6°C while also limiting any rebound above 23°C. Model consensus and historical analogs for late-August patterns under similar synoptic setups support this narrow range, with trader positioning reflecting the balance of uncertainty in precise hourly minimums amid variable precipitation timing. Upcoming official updates from monitoring bodies will likely refine these odds as the day approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$1,355Fecha de finalización
29 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Recent forecasts from agencies including the Japan Meteorological Agency and others indicate a minimum temperature in Tokyo on August 29 most likely between 21–23°C, aligning closely with the market-implied probabilities favoring 22°C (44.5%) and 21°C (30.5%).** Persistent cloud cover, occasional scattered showers, and a shift to northeasterly winds are expected to moderate overnight radiative cooling under humid conditions, preventing the minimum from dropping much below seasonal norms of ~22.6°C while also limiting any rebound above 23°C. Model consensus and historical analogs for late-August patterns under similar synoptic setups support this narrow range, with trader positioning reflecting the balance of uncertainty in precise hourly minimums amid variable precipitation timing. Upcoming official updates from monitoring bodies will likely refine these odds as the day approaches.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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