**Trader sentiment heavily favors a 26°C low for Tokyo on August 28, 2026, at 94.5% implied probability, reflecting strong model consensus on overnight conditions.** Current forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global numerical weather prediction systems indicate a minimum near 24–26°C, driven by persistent cloud cover and high humidity that limit radiative cooling after daytime highs of 31–33°C. Typical late-August patterns feature light winds and scattered showers, which help maintain relatively warm overnight temperatures close to or slightly above the monthly average low of ~23°C. Recent atmospheric stability, with no significant frontal passages or clear-sky episodes in the past 48 hours, has reinforced this outlook. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected surge in northerly flow or rapid clearing that enhances surface cooling below 25°C, though model runs show low divergence on this point through the resolution window.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más baja en Tokio el 28 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más baja en Tokio el 28 de agosto?
26°C 100.0%
25°C 1.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
$11,294 Vol.
$11,294 Vol.
28 ago 2026
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
26°C 100.0%
25°C 1.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
$11,294 Vol.
$11,294 Vol.
28 ago 2026
22°C or below
$1,549 Vol.
No
23°C
$1,591 Vol.
No
24°C
$1,121 Vol.
No
25°C
$1,195 Vol.
No
26°C
$3,108 Vol.
Yes
27°C
$485 Vol.
No
28°C
$432 Vol.
No
29°C
$931 Vol.
No
30°C
$328 Vol.
No
31°C
$202 Vol.
No
32°C or higher
$352 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment heavily favors a 26°C low for Tokyo on August 28, 2026, at 94.5% implied probability, reflecting strong model consensus on overnight conditions.**
Current forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global numerical weather prediction systems indicate a minimum near 24–26°C, driven by persistent cloud cover and high humidity that limit radiative cooling after daytime highs of 31–33°C. Typical late-August patterns feature light winds and scattered showers, which help maintain relatively warm overnight temperatures close to or slightly above the monthly average low of ~23°C.
Recent atmospheric stability, with no significant frontal passages or clear-sky episodes in the past 48 hours, has reinforced this outlook. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected surge in northerly flow or rapid clearing that enhances surface cooling below 25°C, though model runs show low divergence on this point through the resolution window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 26, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volumen
$11,294Fecha de finalización
28 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 26, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment heavily favors a 26°C low for Tokyo on August 28, 2026, at 94.5% implied probability, reflecting strong model consensus on overnight conditions.**
Current forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global numerical weather prediction systems indicate a minimum near 24–26°C, driven by persistent cloud cover and high humidity that limit radiative cooling after daytime highs of 31–33°C. Typical late-August patterns feature light winds and scattered showers, which help maintain relatively warm overnight temperatures close to or slightly above the monthly average low of ~23°C.
Recent atmospheric stability, with no significant frontal passages or clear-sky episodes in the past 48 hours, has reinforced this outlook. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected surge in northerly flow or rapid clearing that enhances surface cooling below 25°C, though model runs show low divergence on this point through the resolution window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$11,294Fecha de finalización
28 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 26, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
**Trader sentiment heavily favors a 26°C low for Tokyo on August 28, 2026, at 94.5% implied probability, reflecting strong model consensus on overnight conditions.** Current forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global numerical weather prediction systems indicate a minimum near 24–26°C, driven by persistent cloud cover and high humidity that limit radiative cooling after daytime highs of 31–33°C. Typical late-August patterns feature light winds and scattered showers, which help maintain relatively warm overnight temperatures close to or slightly above the monthly average low of ~23°C. Recent atmospheric stability, with no significant frontal passages or clear-sky episodes in the past 48 hours, has reinforced this outlook. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected surge in northerly flow or rapid clearing that enhances surface cooling below 25°C, though model runs show low divergence on this point through the resolution window.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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