Recent northerly winds and lingering moisture from late-August rainfall have promoted overnight radiative cooling across Qingdao’s coastal plain, with multiple forecast models converging on minimum temperatures of 21–23 °C for August 31. These conditions favor the market’s leading outcome of 18 °C or below, as clear or partly cloudy skies overnight allow greater heat loss while moderate humidity limits the urban heat-island effect. Upcoming National Meteorological Center updates and local station observations will refine the precise minimum, sustaining trader focus on the narrow 19–22 °C range where small forecast shifts can alter resolution. Historical August lows near 22 °C provide context, yet current steering patterns support the elevated probability traders have assigned to cooler readings.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más baja en Qingdao el 31 de agosto?
18°C or below 90%
23°C 49%
24°C 40%
22°C 27%
18°C or below
90%
19°C
26%
20°C
27%
21°C
27%
22°C
27%
23°C
49%
24°C
40%
25°C
14%
26°C
14%
27°C
10%
28°C or higher
4%
18°C or below 90%
23°C 49%
24°C 40%
22°C 27%
18°C or below
90%
19°C
26%
20°C
27%
21°C
27%
22°C
27%
23°C
49%
24°C
40%
25°C
14%
26°C
14%
27°C
10%
28°C or higher
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 29, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent northerly winds and lingering moisture from late-August rainfall have promoted overnight radiative cooling across Qingdao’s coastal plain, with multiple forecast models converging on minimum temperatures of 21–23 °C for August 31. These conditions favor the market’s leading outcome of 18 °C or below, as clear or partly cloudy skies overnight allow greater heat loss while moderate humidity limits the urban heat-island effect. Upcoming National Meteorological Center updates and local station observations will refine the precise minimum, sustaining trader focus on the narrow 19–22 °C range where small forecast shifts can alter resolution. Historical August lows near 22 °C provide context, yet current steering patterns support the elevated probability traders have assigned to cooler readings.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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