Current forecasts from meteorological models indicate a minimum temperature in Tel Aviv on September 1 likely falling in the mid-20s°C range, driven by typical Mediterranean nocturnal cooling under mostly clear skies, moderate humidity, and light easterly winds that limit rapid temperature drops. Sea breezes from the Mediterranean moderate extremes, while any shift in cloud cover or stronger subsidence could push lows higher or allow greater radiative cooling toward lower 20s. Trader consensus reflects this near-term forecast uncertainty and model variability two days out, with balanced implied probabilities across bins highlighting the narrow historical range for early September minima versus potential for short-term atmospheric adjustments. Updated runs from agencies like the Israel Meteorological Service will clarify thresholds ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Tel Aviv el 1 de septiembre?
19°C or below 59%
29°C or higher 59%
25°C 50%
21°C 49%
19°C or below
59%
20°C
47%
21°C
49%
22°C
49%
23°C
25%
24°C
26%
25°C
50%
26°C
49%
27°C
8%
28°C
2%
29°C or higher
59%
19°C or below 59%
29°C or higher 59%
25°C 50%
21°C 49%
19°C or below
59%
20°C
47%
21°C
49%
22°C
49%
23°C
25%
24°C
26%
25°C
50%
26°C
49%
27°C
8%
28°C
2%
29°C or higher
59%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 30, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from meteorological models indicate a minimum temperature in Tel Aviv on September 1 likely falling in the mid-20s°C range, driven by typical Mediterranean nocturnal cooling under mostly clear skies, moderate humidity, and light easterly winds that limit rapid temperature drops. Sea breezes from the Mediterranean moderate extremes, while any shift in cloud cover or stronger subsidence could push lows higher or allow greater radiative cooling toward lower 20s. Trader consensus reflects this near-term forecast uncertainty and model variability two days out, with balanced implied probabilities across bins highlighting the narrow historical range for early September minima versus potential for short-term atmospheric adjustments. Updated runs from agencies like the Israel Meteorological Service will clarify thresholds ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes