Recent forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and global models converge on a Tel Aviv high near 31°C for August 30, driven by westerly flow, moderate humidity around 50%, and limited cloud cover that permits strong daytime heating without extreme buildup. Light possible drizzle or scattered showers, unusual for late August, could slightly suppress peaks compared to drier conditions, while sea breezes moderate coastal readings. This aligns with historical late-summer norms and explains the dominant 31°C market-implied probability, with 32°C as a plausible upside if insolation strengthens and 30°C if precipitation arrives earlier or more substantially. Updated model runs overnight will be the next key data point.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Tel Aviv el 30 de agosto?
31°C 65%
32°C 25%
30°C 9%
29°C 2%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
9%
31°C
65%
32°C
25%
33°C
2%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
31°C 65%
32°C 25%
30°C 9%
29°C 2%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
9%
31°C
65%
32°C
25%
33°C
2%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and global models converge on a Tel Aviv high near 31°C for August 30, driven by westerly flow, moderate humidity around 50%, and limited cloud cover that permits strong daytime heating without extreme buildup. Light possible drizzle or scattered showers, unusual for late August, could slightly suppress peaks compared to drier conditions, while sea breezes moderate coastal readings. This aligns with historical late-summer norms and explains the dominant 31°C market-implied probability, with 32°C as a plausible upside if insolation strengthens and 30°C if precipitation arrives earlier or more substantially. Updated model runs overnight will be the next key data point.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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