Forecast models and real-time observations from agencies like the Israel Meteorological Service indicate a peak of 33°C in Tel Aviv on August 29 under mostly clear skies, moderate southwest winds of 15-25 km/h, and low humidity around 50-60%, consistent with late-summer climatology where daily highs average near 32°C. This alignment across multiple sources underpins the market's overwhelming 97.2% implied probability for 33°C. Late-day cooling or minor convective activity could cap the maximum below that threshold, while an unanticipated shift in the steering flow might allow brief spikes to 34°C, though current guidance shows limited potential for either deviation before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Tel Aviv el 29 de agosto?
33°C 95.5%
34°C 4%
32°C <1%
29°C or below <1%
$18,020 Vol.
$18,020 Vol.
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
96%
34°C
4%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
33°C 95.5%
34°C 4%
32°C <1%
29°C or below <1%
$18,020 Vol.
$18,020 Vol.
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
96%
34°C
4%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 27, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models and real-time observations from agencies like the Israel Meteorological Service indicate a peak of 33°C in Tel Aviv on August 29 under mostly clear skies, moderate southwest winds of 15-25 km/h, and low humidity around 50-60%, consistent with late-summer climatology where daily highs average near 32°C. This alignment across multiple sources underpins the market's overwhelming 97.2% implied probability for 33°C. Late-day cooling or minor convective activity could cap the maximum below that threshold, while an unanticipated shift in the steering flow might allow brief spikes to 34°C, though current guidance shows limited potential for either deviation before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes