**Mild southwesterly flow and persistent cloud cover are positioning the overnight low near 15–16 °C as the market favorite.** Official guidance from the Met Office and ensemble models shows a warm, humid air mass advecting across southern England on 2 September, with minimum temperatures held above the seasonal 12.7 °C average by limited radiative cooling and urban heat retention in London. Latest short-range runs indicate the thermometer is unlikely to fall below 14 °C or reach 17 °C, consistent with the 96.5 % combined probability on 15–16 °C. Traders are weighting the latest model consensus and the absence of clear-sky conditions that would allow sharper nocturnal drops.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Londres el 2 de septiembre?
¿Temperatura más baja en Londres el 2 de septiembre?
16°C 57%
15°C 39%
17°C 8%
14°C 3.6%
NUEVO
NUEVO
2 sep 2026
10°C o menos
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
1%
13°C
1%
14°C
4%
15°C
39%
16°C
57%
17°C
8%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C o más
<1%
16°C 57%
15°C 39%
17°C 8%
14°C 3.6%
NUEVO
NUEVO
2 sep 2026
10°C o menos
$44 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$133 Vol.
1%
12°C
$154 Vol.
1%
13°C
$14 Vol.
1%
14°C
$54 Vol.
4%
15°C
$738 Vol.
39%
16°C
$987 Vol.
57%
17°C
$139 Vol.
8%
18°C
$59 Vol.
1%
19°C
$69 Vol.
1%
20°C o más
$89 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Mild southwesterly flow and persistent cloud cover are positioning the overnight low near 15–16 °C as the market favorite.** Official guidance from the Met Office and ensemble models shows a warm, humid air mass advecting across southern England on 2 September, with minimum temperatures held above the seasonal 12.7 °C average by limited radiative cooling and urban heat retention in London. Latest short-range runs indicate the thermometer is unlikely to fall below 14 °C or reach 17 °C, consistent with the 96.5 % combined probability on 15–16 °C. Traders are weighting the latest model consensus and the absence of clear-sky conditions that would allow sharper nocturnal drops.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 31, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volumen
$2,482Fecha de finalización
2 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 31, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Mild southwesterly flow and persistent cloud cover are positioning the overnight low near 15–16 °C as the market favorite.** Official guidance from the Met Office and ensemble models shows a warm, humid air mass advecting across southern England on 2 September, with minimum temperatures held above the seasonal 12.7 °C average by limited radiative cooling and urban heat retention in London. Latest short-range runs indicate the thermometer is unlikely to fall below 14 °C or reach 17 °C, consistent with the 96.5 % combined probability on 15–16 °C. Traders are weighting the latest model consensus and the absence of clear-sky conditions that would allow sharper nocturnal drops.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$2,482Fecha de finalización
2 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 31, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Mild southwesterly flow and persistent cloud cover are positioning the overnight low near 15–16 °C as the market favorite.** Official guidance from the Met Office and ensemble models shows a warm, humid air mass advecting across southern England on 2 September, with minimum temperatures held above the seasonal 12.7 °C average by limited radiative cooling and urban heat retention in London. Latest short-range runs indicate the thermometer is unlikely to fall below 14 °C or reach 17 °C, consistent with the 96.5 % combined probability on 15–16 °C. Traders are weighting the latest model consensus and the absence of clear-sky conditions that would allow sharper nocturnal drops.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes