Recent forecast runs from major models indicate Milan’s July 11 maximum will likely fall between 30–34 °C, with ensemble spreads reflecting modest uncertainty over daytime cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing across the Po Valley. High-pressure ridging continues to favor clear skies and strong insolation, yet small timing shifts in any afternoon convection or wind could trim or boost the peak by 1–2 °C at official stations such as Malpensa. Traders therefore assign the highest implied probabilities to 30–32 °C outcomes, consistent with the narrow historical range for early-July maxima under similar synoptic patterns and the limited window before final observations are recorded.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Milán el 11 de julio?
¿La temperatura más alta en Milán el 11 de julio?
31°C 34%
30°C 33%
32°C 18%
33°C 9%
NUEVO
$18,963 Vol.
NUEVO
$18,963 Vol.
11 jul 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
5%
30°C
33%
31°C
34%
32°C
18%
33°C
9%
34°C
4%
35°C or higher
2%
31°C 34%
30°C 33%
32°C 18%
33°C 9%
NUEVO
$18,963 Vol.
NUEVO
$18,963 Vol.
11 jul 2026
25°C or below
$1,259 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$1,292 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$1,276 Vol.
1%
28°C
$599 Vol.
1%
29°C
$3,029 Vol.
5%
30°C
$2,764 Vol.
33%
31°C
$1,804 Vol.
34%
32°C
$1,761 Vol.
18%
33°C
$638 Vol.
9%
34°C
$836 Vol.
4%
35°C or higher
$3,705 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast runs from major models indicate Milan’s July 11 maximum will likely fall between 30–34 °C, with ensemble spreads reflecting modest uncertainty over daytime cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing across the Po Valley. High-pressure ridging continues to favor clear skies and strong insolation, yet small timing shifts in any afternoon convection or wind could trim or boost the peak by 1–2 °C at official stations such as Malpensa. Traders therefore assign the highest implied probabilities to 30–32 °C outcomes, consistent with the narrow historical range for early-July maxima under similar synoptic patterns and the limited window before final observations are recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jul 9, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volumen
$18,963Fecha de finalización
11 jul 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 9, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast runs from major models indicate Milan’s July 11 maximum will likely fall between 30–34 °C, with ensemble spreads reflecting modest uncertainty over daytime cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing across the Po Valley. High-pressure ridging continues to favor clear skies and strong insolation, yet small timing shifts in any afternoon convection or wind could trim or boost the peak by 1–2 °C at official stations such as Malpensa. Traders therefore assign the highest implied probabilities to 30–32 °C outcomes, consistent with the narrow historical range for early-July maxima under similar synoptic patterns and the limited window before final observations are recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$18,963Fecha de finalización
11 jul 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 9, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast runs from major models indicate Milan’s July 11 maximum will likely fall between 30–34 °C, with ensemble spreads reflecting modest uncertainty over daytime cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing across the Po Valley. High-pressure ridging continues to favor clear skies and strong insolation, yet small timing shifts in any afternoon convection or wind could trim or boost the peak by 1–2 °C at official stations such as Malpensa. Traders therefore assign the highest implied probabilities to 30–32 °C outcomes, consistent with the narrow historical range for early-July maxima under similar synoptic patterns and the limited window before final observations are recorded.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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