Recent forecasts for Moscow on July 16, 2026, cluster around 20–23 °C, aligning with the near-even market split between 20 °C and 21 °C as leading outcomes. Official guidance from the Met Office indicates a daytime maximum near 23 °C under variable conditions, while BBC models point to 21 °C with thundery showers and a northerly breeze that could limit afternoon heating. Ensemble differences in cloud cover, timing of any showers, and boundary-layer mixing create the narrow spread among 19–22 °C possibilities. Historical July maxima average near 24 °C, so current cooler steering patterns and modest instability keep higher thresholds (24 °C+) at low implied probability ahead of final model runs and observational updates.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Moscú el 16 de julio?
20°C 29%
19°C 28%
21°C 16%
18°C 14%
16°C o menos
1%
17°C
4%
18°C
14%
19°C
28%
20°C
29%
21°C
16%
22°C
6%
23°C
5%
24°C
1%
25°C
<1%
26°C o más
<1%
20°C 29%
19°C 28%
21°C 16%
18°C 14%
16°C o menos
1%
17°C
4%
18°C
14%
19°C
28%
20°C
29%
21°C
16%
22°C
6%
23°C
5%
24°C
1%
25°C
<1%
26°C o más
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jul 14, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Moscow on July 16, 2026, cluster around 20–23 °C, aligning with the near-even market split between 20 °C and 21 °C as leading outcomes. Official guidance from the Met Office indicates a daytime maximum near 23 °C under variable conditions, while BBC models point to 21 °C with thundery showers and a northerly breeze that could limit afternoon heating. Ensemble differences in cloud cover, timing of any showers, and boundary-layer mixing create the narrow spread among 19–22 °C possibilities. Historical July maxima average near 24 °C, so current cooler steering patterns and modest instability keep higher thresholds (24 °C+) at low implied probability ahead of final model runs and observational updates.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado

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