Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models indicate Munich maximum temperatures on July 12 most likely in the 27–29°C range under partly cloudy skies and modest southerly flow, aligning with market-implied odds clustered tightly around 28°C and 29°C. Primary drivers include the strength of high-pressure influence over central Europe, which limits daytime heating compared to recent warmer spells, alongside variable Atlantic moisture and Alpine drainage flows that can suppress or enhance peak readings by 1–2°C depending on timing. Historical July averages near 24–25°C provide context, yet 2026 conditions track slightly above the 1991–2020 baseline. Updated model runs and surface observations over the next 48 hours will refine the exact threshold amid typical summer forecast spread.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Múnich el 12 de julio?
¿La temperatura más alta en Múnich el 12 de julio?
28°C 33%
29°C 28%
27°C 17%
30°C 16%
NUEVO
NUEVO
12 jul 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
4%
27°C
17%
28°C
33%
29°C
28%
30°C
16%
31°C
4%
32°C
1%
33°C or higher
<1%
28°C 33%
29°C 28%
27°C 17%
30°C 16%
NUEVO
NUEVO
12 jul 2026
23°C or below
$306 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$95 Vol.
1%
25°C
$144 Vol.
1%
26°C
$78 Vol.
4%
27°C
$265 Vol.
17%
28°C
$2,333 Vol.
33%
29°C
$611 Vol.
28%
30°C
$605 Vol.
16%
31°C
$16 Vol.
4%
32°C
$141 Vol.
1%
33°C or higher
$481 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models indicate Munich maximum temperatures on July 12 most likely in the 27–29°C range under partly cloudy skies and modest southerly flow, aligning with market-implied odds clustered tightly around 28°C and 29°C. Primary drivers include the strength of high-pressure influence over central Europe, which limits daytime heating compared to recent warmer spells, alongside variable Atlantic moisture and Alpine drainage flows that can suppress or enhance peak readings by 1–2°C depending on timing. Historical July averages near 24–25°C provide context, yet 2026 conditions track slightly above the 1991–2020 baseline. Updated model runs and surface observations over the next 48 hours will refine the exact threshold amid typical summer forecast spread.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jul 10, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volumen
$5,077Fecha de finalización
12 jul 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 10, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models indicate Munich maximum temperatures on July 12 most likely in the 27–29°C range under partly cloudy skies and modest southerly flow, aligning with market-implied odds clustered tightly around 28°C and 29°C. Primary drivers include the strength of high-pressure influence over central Europe, which limits daytime heating compared to recent warmer spells, alongside variable Atlantic moisture and Alpine drainage flows that can suppress or enhance peak readings by 1–2°C depending on timing. Historical July averages near 24–25°C provide context, yet 2026 conditions track slightly above the 1991–2020 baseline. Updated model runs and surface observations over the next 48 hours will refine the exact threshold amid typical summer forecast spread.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$5,077Fecha de finalización
12 jul 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 10, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models indicate Munich maximum temperatures on July 12 most likely in the 27–29°C range under partly cloudy skies and modest southerly flow, aligning with market-implied odds clustered tightly around 28°C and 29°C. Primary drivers include the strength of high-pressure influence over central Europe, which limits daytime heating compared to recent warmer spells, alongside variable Atlantic moisture and Alpine drainage flows that can suppress or enhance peak readings by 1–2°C depending on timing. Historical July averages near 24–25°C provide context, yet 2026 conditions track slightly above the 1991–2020 baseline. Updated model runs and surface observations over the next 48 hours will refine the exact threshold amid typical summer forecast spread.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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