Market-implied odds favoring a 25°C high for Munich on September 2 reflect strong consensus across GFS and regional ensemble forecasts for a peak of 24–26°C under partly cloudy skies and light westerly flow. Stable high pressure and dry conditions support temperatures modestly above the 22°C climatological average, with minimal cloud cover and negligible precipitation risk keeping the distribution tightly centered near 25°C. Recent model runs show little spread, though final DWD observations and any late adjustments in boundary-layer mixing could shift the exact maximum within the narrow 24–26°C window.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Múnich el 2 de septiembre?
25°C 64%
24°C 17%
26°C 16%
23°C 3%
$10,508 Vol.
$10,508 Vol.
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
3%
24°C
17%
25°C
64%
26°C
16%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
25°C 64%
24°C 17%
26°C 16%
23°C 3%
$10,508 Vol.
$10,508 Vol.
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
3%
24°C
17%
25°C
64%
26°C
16%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 31, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...Market-implied odds favoring a 25°C high for Munich on September 2 reflect strong consensus across GFS and regional ensemble forecasts for a peak of 24–26°C under partly cloudy skies and light westerly flow. Stable high pressure and dry conditions support temperatures modestly above the 22°C climatological average, with minimal cloud cover and negligible precipitation risk keeping the distribution tightly centered near 25°C. Recent model runs show little spread, though final DWD observations and any late adjustments in boundary-layer mixing could shift the exact maximum within the narrow 24–26°C window.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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