Recent short-range model consensus from ECMWF, GFS, and DWD output positions Munich’s September 1 maximum near 23–24 °C under partly cloudy skies and light westerly flow, aligning with the market’s leading 24 °C (44.5 %) and 23 °C (30.5 %) contracts. This reflects a transitional regime after late-August cooling, with daytime highs running close to the 1991–2020 climatological average of 22.2 °C and little indication of either strong warm advection or a reinforcing cold front. Ensemble spreads remain modest, though afternoon cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing introduce typical 1–2 °C uncertainty that traders appear to price into the tight clustering around 23–24 °C. Final official verification will hinge on DWD station readings at München-Stadt or comparable sites.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Múnich el 1 de septiembre?
¿La temperatura más alta en Múnich el 1 de septiembre?
24°C 45%
23°C 31%
25°C 16%
22°C 7%
NUEVO
NUEVO
1 sep 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
2%
21°C
2%
22°C
7%
23°C
31%
24°C
45%
25°C
16%
26°C
2%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
24°C 45%
23°C 31%
25°C 16%
22°C 7%
NUEVO
NUEVO
1 sep 2026
18°C or below
$117 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$4 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$50 Vol.
2%
21°C
$73 Vol.
2%
22°C
$147 Vol.
7%
23°C
$613 Vol.
31%
24°C
$842 Vol.
45%
25°C
$185 Vol.
16%
26°C
$30 Vol.
2%
27°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
28°C or higher
$0 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range model consensus from ECMWF, GFS, and DWD output positions Munich’s September 1 maximum near 23–24 °C under partly cloudy skies and light westerly flow, aligning with the market’s leading 24 °C (44.5 %) and 23 °C (30.5 %) contracts. This reflects a transitional regime after late-August cooling, with daytime highs running close to the 1991–2020 climatological average of 22.2 °C and little indication of either strong warm advection or a reinforcing cold front. Ensemble spreads remain modest, though afternoon cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing introduce typical 1–2 °C uncertainty that traders appear to price into the tight clustering around 23–24 °C. Final official verification will hinge on DWD station readings at München-Stadt or comparable sites.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 30, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volumen
$2,060Fecha de finalización
1 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 30, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range model consensus from ECMWF, GFS, and DWD output positions Munich’s September 1 maximum near 23–24 °C under partly cloudy skies and light westerly flow, aligning with the market’s leading 24 °C (44.5 %) and 23 °C (30.5 %) contracts. This reflects a transitional regime after late-August cooling, with daytime highs running close to the 1991–2020 climatological average of 22.2 °C and little indication of either strong warm advection or a reinforcing cold front. Ensemble spreads remain modest, though afternoon cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing introduce typical 1–2 °C uncertainty that traders appear to price into the tight clustering around 23–24 °C. Final official verification will hinge on DWD station readings at München-Stadt or comparable sites.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$2,060Fecha de finalización
1 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 30, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range model consensus from ECMWF, GFS, and DWD output positions Munich’s September 1 maximum near 23–24 °C under partly cloudy skies and light westerly flow, aligning with the market’s leading 24 °C (44.5 %) and 23 °C (30.5 %) contracts. This reflects a transitional regime after late-August cooling, with daytime highs running close to the 1991–2020 climatological average of 22.2 °C and little indication of either strong warm advection or a reinforcing cold front. Ensemble spreads remain modest, though afternoon cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing introduce typical 1–2 °C uncertainty that traders appear to price into the tight clustering around 23–24 °C. Final official verification will hinge on DWD station readings at München-Stadt or comparable sites.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes