Current short-range forecasts from multiple models, including ECMWF guidance valid as of 30 August 2026, indicate a minimum temperature in Munich on 1 September near 13–14 °C under partly cloudy skies and light westerly flow. This aligns with the climatological average low of 12.3 °C for the date and reflects typical early-autumn radiative cooling under high pressure without strong cold-air advection. Ensemble spreads nevertheless retain non-negligible probability for values several degrees lower, supporting the elevated market-implied odds (41 %) on 9 °C or below. No major forecast shifts have occurred in the past 48 hours, and upcoming 00 UTC and 12 UTC model runs on 31 August will provide the final updates before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Múnich el 1 de septiembre?
¿Temperatura más baja en Múnich el 1 de septiembre?
12°C 28%
13°C 27%
14°C 26%
11°C 25%
NUEVO
NUEVO
1 sep 2026
9°C or below
8%
10°C
14%
11°C
25%
12°C
28%
13°C
27%
14°C
26%
15°C
13%
16°C
2%
17°C
15%
18°C
8%
19°C or higher
7%
12°C 28%
13°C 27%
14°C 26%
11°C 25%
NUEVO
NUEVO
1 sep 2026
9°C or below
$93 Vol.
8%
10°C
$0 Vol.
14%
11°C
$0 Vol.
25%
12°C
$0 Vol.
28%
13°C
$0 Vol.
27%
14°C
$0 Vol.
26%
15°C
$0 Vol.
13%
16°C
$0 Vol.
2%
17°C
$5 Vol.
15%
18°C
$10 Vol.
8%
19°C or higher
$10 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range forecasts from multiple models, including ECMWF guidance valid as of 30 August 2026, indicate a minimum temperature in Munich on 1 September near 13–14 °C under partly cloudy skies and light westerly flow. This aligns with the climatological average low of 12.3 °C for the date and reflects typical early-autumn radiative cooling under high pressure without strong cold-air advection. Ensemble spreads nevertheless retain non-negligible probability for values several degrees lower, supporting the elevated market-implied odds (41 %) on 9 °C or below. No major forecast shifts have occurred in the past 48 hours, and upcoming 00 UTC and 12 UTC model runs on 31 August will provide the final updates before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 30, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volumen
$118Fecha de finalización
1 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 30, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range forecasts from multiple models, including ECMWF guidance valid as of 30 August 2026, indicate a minimum temperature in Munich on 1 September near 13–14 °C under partly cloudy skies and light westerly flow. This aligns with the climatological average low of 12.3 °C for the date and reflects typical early-autumn radiative cooling under high pressure without strong cold-air advection. Ensemble spreads nevertheless retain non-negligible probability for values several degrees lower, supporting the elevated market-implied odds (41 %) on 9 °C or below. No major forecast shifts have occurred in the past 48 hours, and upcoming 00 UTC and 12 UTC model runs on 31 August will provide the final updates before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$118Fecha de finalización
1 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 30, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current short-range forecasts from multiple models, including ECMWF guidance valid as of 30 August 2026, indicate a minimum temperature in Munich on 1 September near 13–14 °C under partly cloudy skies and light westerly flow. This aligns with the climatological average low of 12.3 °C for the date and reflects typical early-autumn radiative cooling under high pressure without strong cold-air advection. Ensemble spreads nevertheless retain non-negligible probability for values several degrees lower, supporting the elevated market-implied odds (41 %) on 9 °C or below. No major forecast shifts have occurred in the past 48 hours, and upcoming 00 UTC and 12 UTC model runs on 31 August will provide the final updates before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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